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Premier League
Referee: Kevin Friend
West Brom
S S T S U
1–0
Full-time
Stoke
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Premier League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 35%
39%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
48%
39%
Both score Ø 59%
57%
61%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
15 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Brom 8. · Stoke 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chelsea 24 19 2 3 +34 59
2 Tottenham 23 13 8 2 +29 47
3 Arsenal 24 14 5 5 +24 47
4 Liverpool 23 13 7 3 +24 46
5 Man City 23 14 4 5 +19 46
6 Man United 23 11 9 3 +12 42
7 Everton 23 10 7 6 +10 37
8 West Brom 23 9 6 8 +2 33
9 Stoke 23 7 8 8 -6 29
10 Burnley 23 9 2 12 -8 29
11 West Ham 23 8 4 11 -11 28
12 Southampton 23 7 6 10 -5 27
13 Watford 23 7 6 10 -12 27
14 Bournemouth 23 7 5 11 -9 26
15 Middlesbrough 23 4 9 10 -7 21
16 Leicester 23 5 6 12 -14 21
17 Swansea 23 6 3 14 -24 21
18 Crystal Palace 23 5 4 14 -9 19
19 Hull 23 4 5 14 -27 17
20 Sunderland 23 4 4 15 -22 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Brom Stoke
1–0 J. Morrison
N. Chadli
6′
30′
🟨 Marko Arnautović
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 S. Berahino
↦ P. Crouch
58′
🔁 M. Diouf
↦ C. Adam
Matt Phillips 🟨
60′
Ben Foster 🟨
66′
J. McClean 🔁
↦ N. Chadli
66′
69′
🔁 J. Ngoy
↦ I. Afellay
H. Robson-Kanu 🔁
↦ M. Phillips
87′
S. Field 🔁
↦ J. Morrison
89′
90′
🟨 Bruno Martins Indi
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

West Brom

4-2-3-1
1 B. Foster G
23 G. McAuley D
2 A. Nyom D
25 C. Dawson D
7 J. Morrison M
24 D. Fletcher M
11 C. Brunt D
22 N. Chadli M
10 M. Phillips M
8 J. Livermore M
9 S. Rondón F
Bench (7)
14 J. McClean
4 H. Robson-Kanu
47 S. Field
3 J. Olsson
12 M. Wilson
13 G. Myhill
45 J. Leko

Coach: T. Pulis

Stoke

4-2-3-1
33 L. Grant G
3 E. Pieters D
2 P. Bardsley D
17 R. Shawcross D
15 B. Martins Indi D
16 C. Adam M
14 I. Afellay M
6 G. Whelan M
4 J. Allen M
25 P. Crouch F
10 M. Arnautović M
Bench (7)
9 S. Berahino
18 M. Diouf
45 J. Ngoy
5 Muniesa
12 W. Bony
21 G. Imbula
24 S. Given

Coach: M. Hughes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kevin Friend · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.