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Championship
Referee: Trevor Kettle
Huddersfield
U U T T S
4–1
Full-time
Bolton
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huddersfield Bolton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Championship · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 14%
14%
14%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 22%
14%
29%
Both score Ø 43%
57%
29%
Average goals
2,0
1,3
Scored
0,7
0,4
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 1
4 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Huddersfield 20. · Bolton 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 7 6 1 0 +6 19
2 Middlesbrough 8 5 2 1 +9 17
3 Burnley 7 4 2 1 +3 14
4 Ipswich 8 4 2 2 +0 14
5 Hull 7 4 1 2 +5 13
6 Birmingham 7 3 3 1 +4 12
7 Cardiff 7 3 3 1 +3 12
8 QPR 7 3 2 2 +1 11
9 Nott'm Forest 8 3 2 3 +0 11
10 Derby 7 2 4 1 +1 10
11 Reading 7 2 3 2 +4 9
12 Charlton 7 2 3 2 +1 9
13 Fulham 6 2 2 2 +1 8
14 Leeds 7 1 5 1 +0 8
15 Wolves 6 2 1 3 -2 7
16 Milton Keynes Dons 7 2 1 4 -2 7
17 Bolton 7 1 4 2 -3 7
18 Sheffield Weds 7 1 3 3 -3 6
19 Preston 7 1 3 3 -3 6
20 Huddersfield 7 1 3 3 -4 6
21 Brentford 6 1 2 3 -3 5
22 Bristol City 7 1 2 4 -6 5
23 Blackburn 7 0 4 3 -3 4
24 Rotherham 7 0 2 5 -9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huddersfield Bolton
3′
L. Feeney 0–1
D. Moxey
10′
🔁 G. Madine
↦ E. Heskey
Half-time 1–1
1–1 E. Huws
H. Bunn
46′
2–1 M. Carayol
E. Huws
51′
55′
🟨 Derik Osede
63′
🔁 T. Walker
↦ Wellington Silva
3–1 E. Huws
M. Carayol
74′
J. Hogg 🔁
↦ E. Huws
78′
79′
🟨 Neil Danns
J. Paterson 🔁
↦ M. Carayol
82′
83′
🟨 Mark Davies
4–1 J. Lynch
83′
N. Wells 🔁
↦ I. Miller
87′
89′
🟨 Derik Osede
89′
🟥 Derik Osede
90′
🔁 A. Finney
↦ S. Dobbie
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Huddersfield

1 J. Steer G
12 E. Ward D
14 M. Cranie D
33 J. Lynch D
3 J. Davidson M
4 D. Whitehead M
7 S. Scannell M
10 M. Carayol M
11 I. Miller F
16 E. Huws M
17 H. Bunn M
Bench (7)
6 J. Hogg
8 J. Paterson
21 N. Wells
2 T. Smith
18 J. Lolley
22 K. Dempsey
26 L. Allinson

Bolton

1 B. Amos G
3 D. Moxey D
2 P. Gouano D
15 Derik Osede M
16 M. Davies M
18 N. Danns M
7 L. Feeney M
25 L. Wilson D
19 E. Heskey F
23 S. Dobbie
22 Wellington Silva M
Bench (7)
14 G. Madine
42 T. Walker
36 A. Finney
6 J. Vela
8 J. Spearing
13 P. Rachubka
27 F. Twardzik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.