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Championship
Referee: Carl Boyeson
Blackburn
U T U T U
3–0
Full-time
Charlton
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Charlton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Championship · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 15%
0%
29%
Points per game
0,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 71%
71%
71%
Average goals
2,1
2,1
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
16 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 23. · Charlton 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 7 6 1 0 +6 19
2 Middlesbrough 8 5 2 1 +9 17
3 Burnley 7 4 2 1 +3 14
4 Ipswich 8 4 2 2 +0 14
5 Hull 7 4 1 2 +5 13
6 Birmingham 7 3 3 1 +4 12
7 Cardiff 7 3 3 1 +3 12
8 QPR 7 3 2 2 +1 11
9 Nott'm Forest 8 3 2 3 +0 11
10 Derby 7 2 4 1 +1 10
11 Reading 7 2 3 2 +4 9
12 Charlton 7 2 3 2 +1 9
13 Fulham 6 2 2 2 +1 8
14 Leeds 7 1 5 1 +0 8
15 Wolves 6 2 1 3 -2 7
16 Milton Keynes Dons 7 2 1 4 -2 7
17 Bolton 7 1 4 2 -3 7
18 Sheffield Weds 7 1 3 3 -3 6
19 Preston 7 1 3 3 -3 6
20 Huddersfield 7 1 3 3 -4 6
21 Brentford 6 1 2 3 -3 5
22 Bristol City 7 1 2 4 -6 5
23 Blackburn 7 0 4 3 -3 4
24 Rotherham 7 0 2 5 -9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Charlton
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. Rhodes
G. Hanley
46′
61′
🔁 Vetokele
↦ M. Kennedy
Grant Hanley 🟨
67′
69′
🔁 C. McAleny
↦ Z. Bergdich
T. Lawrence 🔁
↦ F. Koita
75′
2–0 J. Rhodes
T. Lawrence
75′
H. Akpan 🔁
↦ D. Guthrie
78′
3–0 T. Lawrence
A. Henley
85′
L. Williamson 🔁
↦ C. Evans
89′
89′
🔁 K. Ahearne-Grant
↦ T. Watt
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Blackburn

30 J. Steele G
14 M. Olsson D
22 S. Duffy D
5 G. Hanley D
2 A. Henley D
32 C. Conway M
23 D. Guthrie M
10 B. Marshall M
29 C. Evans M
11 J. Rhodes F
8 F. Koita F
Bench (7)
16 T. Lawrence
21 H. Akpan
17 L. Williamson
4 M. Kilgallon
7 N. Delfouneso
18 J. O'Sullivan
33 David Raya

Charlton

30 N. Pope G
20 C. Solly D
19 Z. Bergdich D
5 P. Bauer D
21 M. Fox D
12 A. Diarra M
7 J. Guðmunds­son M
3 A. Kashi M
8 J. Cousins M
32 T. Watt F
31 M. Kennedy F
Bench (7)
14 Vetokele
28 C. McAleny
18 K. Ahearne-Grant
4 J. Jackson
6 N. Sarr
22 E. Ba
27 D. Mitov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.