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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Ath Bilbao

U S U S T

0–1

Full-time

Barcelona

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,3

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,5

5,3

Scored

1,3

5,0

Conceded

1,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+4,7

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

8,0

Scored

1,0

6,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%

9 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 6

20 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 18. · Barcelona 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Sp Gijon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Leganes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Sociedad	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Malaga	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Ath Madrid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Alaves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Osasuna	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Betis	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Granada	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Celta	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Granada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Osasuna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sp Gijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Betis	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Granada	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.