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La Liga

Referee: Daniel Jesus Trujillo Suarez

Sevilla

S S S S T

2–0

Full-time

Malaga

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

0,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,7

This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

0,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

12 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 6

14 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 3. · Malaga 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Ath Madrid	6	4	2	0	+8	14
3	Sevilla	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Valencia	6	3	3	0	+7	12
5	Betis	6	4	0	2	+3	12
6	Real Madrid	6	3	2	1	+5	11
7	Leganes	6	3	1	2	+2	10
8	Sociedad	6	3	0	3	+0	9
9	Levante	6	2	3	1	+0	9
10	Celta	7	2	2	3	+2	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	+2	8
12	Ath Bilbao	6	2	2	2	+1	8
13	Espanol	6	2	2	2	-2	8
14	Villarreal	6	2	1	3	-3	7
15	La Coruna	7	2	1	4	-7	7
16	Girona	7	1	3	3	-5	6
17	Las Palmas	6	2	0	4	-5	6
18	Eibar	6	2	0	4	-11	6
19	Malaga	6	0	1	5	-10	1
20	Alaves	6	0	0	6	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Betis	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Levante	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Valencia	3	2	1	0	+6	7
5	Sevilla	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Espanol	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	La Coruna	4	2	0	2	-3	6
9	Celta	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Leganes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Girona	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Getafe	3	1	0	2	+2	3
15	Sociedad	3	1	0	2	+0	3
16	Eibar	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Las Palmas	3	1	0	2	-5	3
18	Real Madrid	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Malaga	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Alaves	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Leganes	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Sociedad	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Valencia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Getafe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Celta	3	1	0	2	+2	3
11	Las Palmas	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Betis	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Eibar	3	1	0	2	-7	3
15	Girona	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Espanol	3	0	2	1	-5	2
17	La Coruna	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Levante	2	0	1	1	-4	1
19	Alaves	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Malaga	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.