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Primeira Liga

Referee: Helder Malheiro

Moreirense

U T S U S

0–1

Full-time

Maritimo

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Maritimo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%

19 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

15 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Moreirense 6. · Maritimo 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Porto	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Moreirense	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Arouca	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Feirense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Chaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Nacional	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Estoril	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Chaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Belenenses	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Tondela	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Estoril	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Belenenses	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Boavista	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.