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Serie A

Referee: Daniele Doveri

Sampdoria

S T T T S

2–1

Full-time

Atalanta

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

0,5

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,0

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

7,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

4,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

57% Possession 43%

8 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 1

0 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 1

4 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sampdoria 7. · Atalanta 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Chievo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Milan	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Pescara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Palermo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Inter	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Chievo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Pescara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Inter	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Milan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Inter	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.