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Eredivisie

Referee: Pol van Boekel

Go Ahead Eagles

T U T

0–3

Full-time

Ajax

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

0,7

2,2

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

39% Possession 61%

7 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 10

0 Blocked shots 3

7 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 16. · Ajax 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Den Haag	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Twente	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Sparta Rotterdam	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Excelsior	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Nijmegen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Ajax	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Heracles	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Willem II	4	1	1	2	-4	4
13	Roda	4	0	3	1	-1	3
14	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Go Ahead Eagles	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Groningen	4	0	1	3	-8	1
18	Zwolle	4	0	1	3	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Nijmegen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Twente	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Heracles	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Ajax	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Vitesse	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Roda	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-6	0
18	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Twente	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Roda	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Nijmegen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Groningen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.