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Serie A
Referee: Paolo Tagliavento
Torino
T S U S S
2–2
Full-time
Sampdoria
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,7
4,3
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Serie A · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
7 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 5. · Sampdoria 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 4 4 0 0 +10 12
2 Inter 4 4 0 0 +9 12
3 Napoli 3 3 0 0 +7 9
4 Lazio 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 Torino 3 2 1 0 +4 7
6 Fiorentina 4 2 0 2 +2 6
7 Roma 3 2 0 1 +2 6
8 Sampdoria 2 2 0 0 +2 6
9 Milan 3 2 0 1 +1 6
10 Spal 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Bologna 4 1 1 2 -3 4
12 Udinese 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Atalanta 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 Chievo 3 1 0 2 -3 3
15 Cagliari 3 1 0 2 -3 3
16 Genoa 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Sassuolo 4 0 1 3 -6 1
18 Crotone 4 0 1 3 -6 1
19 Verona 4 0 1 3 -10 1
20 Benevento 3 0 0 3 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Sampdoria
1′
⚽ D. Zapata 0–1
G. Ramírez
1–1 D. Baselli ⚽
M. Niang
13′
2–1 A. Belotti ⚽
A. Ljajić
14′
34′
⚽ F. Quagliarella 2–2
I. Strinić
Half-time 2–2
46′
🔁 B. Bereszyński
↦ J. Sala
59′
🟨 Ivan Strinić
Lorenzo De Silvestri 🟨
60′
66′
🔁 N. Murru
↦ I. Strinić
Samuel Gustafson 🔁
↦ D. Baselli
71′
L. Boyé 🔁
↦ M. Niang
73′
S. Edera 🔁
↦ Iago Falqué
80′
82′
🔁 K. Linetty
↦ G. Ramírez
Emiliano Moretti 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Torino

4-2-3-1
39 S. Sirigu G
24 E. Moretti D
29 L. De Silvestri M
33 N. N'Koulou D
23 A. Barreca D
88 T. Rincón M
8 D. Baselli M
10 A. Ljajić M
14 Iago Falqué F
11 M. Niang F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
16 Samuel Gustafson
31 L. Boyé
20 S. Edera
97 Lyanco
99 U. Sadiq
13 N. Burdisso
3 C. Molinaro
21 Álex Berenguer
15 C. Ansaldi
1 S. Ichazo
5 M. Valdifiori
32 V. Savić

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Sampdoria

4-3-1-2
1 C. Puggioni G
26 M. Silvestre D
17 I. Strinić D
19 V. Regini D
7 J. Sala D
8 É. Barreto M
90 G. Ramírez M
18 D. Praet M
34 L. Torreira M
27 F. Quagliarella F
91 D. Zapata F
Bench (12)
24 B. Bereszyński
29 N. Murru
16 K. Linetty
92 A. Tozzo
21 V. Verre
13 G. Ferrari
9 G. Caprari
22 G. Hutvágner
11 R. Álvarez
28 L. Capezzi
99 D. Kownacki
3 J. Andersen

Coach: M. Giampaolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Paolo Tagliavento · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.