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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
Waregem
S S U U S
1–3
Full-time
Gent
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 27/17 matches
Win Ø 45%
30%
59%
Points per game
1,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
74%
82%
Both score Ø 75%
74%
76%
Average goals
3,6
3,4
Scored
1,6
2,1
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3 Corners 3
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 11. · Gent 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 28 12 10 6 +13 46
2 Kortrijk 28 11 7 10 +2 40
3 Charleroi 28 11 6 11 +0 39
4 Genk 18 11 5 2 +21 38
5 Antwerp 17 12 1 4 +12 37
6 Standard 18 10 6 2 +17 36
7 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 10 6 12 -1 36
8 Club Brugge 18 10 4 4 +17 34
9 Gent 17 10 2 5 +14 32
10 Anderlecht 17 9 4 4 +11 31
11 Waregem 27 8 7 12 -9 31
12 Eupen 27 9 2 16 -19 29
13 Cercle Brugge 28 7 7 14 -21 28
14 Oostende 28 6 9 13 -20 27
15 Beveren 28 5 11 12 -12 26
16 Lokeren 27 4 5 18 -25 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Gent
2′
⚽ Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe 0–1
1–1 Theo Bongonda ⚽
5′
Half-time 1–1
56′
🔁 Birger Verstraete
↦ Anderson Esiti
59′
⚽ Jonathan Christian David 1–2
62′
🟨 Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe
Mikael Soisalo 🔁
↦ Florian Tardieu
62′
Henrik Bjørdal 🔁
↦ Idrissa Sylla
63′
70′
🔁 Brecht Dejaegere
↦ Roman Yaremchuk
72′
🟨 Sigurd Rosted
77′
🔁 Stallone Limbombe
↦ Jean-Luc Dompe
Ewoud Pletinckx 🟨
90′
90′
⚽ Alexander Sørloth 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Waregem

4-4-2
1 Sammy Bossut G
14 Sandy Walsh D
62 Ewoud Pletinckx D
3 Marvin Baudry D
2 Davy de Fauw D
11 Nill De Pauw F
26 Stef Peeters M
15 Ibrahima Seck M
10 Theo Bongonda M
9 Hamdi Harbaoui F
40 Idrissa Sylla F
Bench (7)
25 Louis Bostyn
22 Florian Tardieu
5 Damien Marcq
57 Mathieu De Smet
20 Henrik Bjørdal
17 Mikael Soisalo
7 Thomas Buffel

Gent

4-2-3-1
1 Thomas Kaminski G
2 Arnaud Souquet D
76 Timothy Derijck D
4 Sigurd Rosted D
21 Nana Asare D
8 Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe M
16 Jonathan Christian David F
10 Alexander Sørloth F
44 Anderson Esiti M
11 Jean-Luc Dompe F
17 Roman Yaremchuk F
Bench (7)
20 Yannick Thoelen
5 Igor Plastun
10 Roman Bezus
6 Birger Verstraete
9 Stallone Limbombe
19 Brecht Dejaegere
13 Giorgi Kvilitaia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.