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Ligue 1
Referee: Mikael Lesage
Rennes
U T T T T
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Nancy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
0,3
0,0
Conceded
2,2
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-3,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
9 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 18. · Nancy 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Monaco 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Bordeaux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Metz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Montpellier 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Nice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Nantes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Caen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Guingamp 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Marseille 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Toulouse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 St Etienne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Lille 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Lorient 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Angers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Rennes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Nancy 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Nancy
21′
🟨 Vincent Muratori
1–0 Y. Gourcuff
R. Danzé
23′
28′
🟨 Julien Cétout
Giovanni Sio 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
Benjamin André 🟨
58′
Pedro Henrique 🟨
63′
K. Grosicki 🔁
↦ Pedro Henrique
64′
Gélson Fernandes 🟨
67′
E. Lenjani 🔁
↦ W. Saïd
72′
72′
🔁 C. Mandanne
↦ M. Dalé
75′
🔁 D. Guidileye
↦ S. N’Guessan
76′
🔁 L. Puyo
↦ Y. Ait Bennasser
2–0 G. Sio
L. Baal
81′
K. Erasmus 🔁
↦ G. Sio
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-1-1
1 B. Costil
24 L. Baal D
29 R. Danzé D
5 Pedro Mendes D
15 R. Bensebaini D
28 Y. Gourcuff M
6 G. Fernandes M
21 B. André M
13 G. Sio F
18 Pedro Henrique F
11 W. Saïd F
Bench (7)
10 K. Grosicki
17 E. Lenjani
9 K. Erasmus
31 A. Diakhaby
16 P. Nardi
4 Mexer
12 S. Moreira

Coach: C. Gourcuff

Nancy

4-3-3
16 G. N'Dy Assembé G
26 V. Muratori D
28 J. Cétout M
14 J. Cuffaut D
2 C. Lenglet D
7 A. Robic M
25 B. Pedretti M
6 Y. Ait Bennasser M
13 S. N’Guessan M
9 M. Dalé F
23 A. Koura F
Bench (7)
12 C. Mandanne
18 D. Guidileye
19 L. Puyo
8 V. Marchetti
11 K. Coulibaly
17 F. Maouassa
1 S. Chernik

Coach: P. Correa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mikael Lesage · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.