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Ligue 1
Referee: Stephane Lannoy
Nantes
U S T T S
0–1
Full-time
Monaco
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,8
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
8 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nantes 4. · Monaco 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Bordeaux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
3 Metz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Nantes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Montpellier 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Nice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Caen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
9 Monaco 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Guingamp 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Marseille 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Toulouse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 St Etienne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Lille 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Lorient 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Angers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Rennes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Nancy 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes Monaco
A. Kačaniklić 🔁
↦ J. Iloki
23′
25′
Boschilia 0–1
33′
🟨 Marcel Tisserand
Half-time 0–1
67′
🔁 T. Lemar
↦ Boschilia
Y. Bammou 🔁
↦ K. Sigþórsson
71′
72′
🔁 V. Germain
↦ Ivan Cavaleiro
81′
🔁 T. Bakayoko
↦ A. Traoré
Guillaume Gillet 🟨
83′
A. Alegue 🔁
↦ A. Harit
83′
87′
🟨 Kamil Glik
Diego Carlos 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Danijel Subašić
90′
🟨 Corentin Jean
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Nantes

4-3-3
1 R. Riou
4 O. Vizcarrondo D
6 Lucas Lima D
15 L. Dubois D
3 Diego Carlos D
27 G. Gillet M
23 N. Thomsen M
7 J. Iloki M
28 V. Rongier M
14 A. Harit M
9 K. Sigþórsson F
Bench (7)
11 A. Kačaniklić
10 Y. Bammou
24 A. Alegue
13 W. Moimbé
25 E. Kwateng
26 K. Djidji
30 M. Dupé

Coach: R. Girard

Monaco

4-3-3
1 D. Subašić G
25 K. Glik D
32 M. Tisserand D
23 B. Mendy D
34 A. Diallo D
35 K. N'Doram M
8 João Moutinho M
28 C. Jean F
26 Boschilia F
20 A. Traoré M
17 Ivan Cavaleiro F
Bench (7)
27 T. Lemar
18 V. Germain
14 T. Bakayoko
7 N. Dirar
21 U. Echiejile
24 A. Raggi
40 L. Badiashile

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Stephane Lannoy · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
10,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.