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Serie A
Referee: Davide Massa
Juventus
S S S T S
2–1
Full-time
Fiorentina
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,8
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
19 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Apr -16 Fiorentina – Juventus 1–2 13. Dec -15 Juventus – Fiorentina 3–1

Match report

Juventus Fiorentina
1–0 S. Khedira ⚽
G. Chiellini
37′
39′
🟨 Nikola Kalinić
44′
🟨 Matías Vecino
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Cristian Tello
↦ F. Chiesa
Andrea Barzagli 🟨
54′
65′
🔁 C. Sánchez
↦ M. Badelj
G. Higuaín 🔁
↦ M. Mandžukić
66′
70′
⚽ N. Kalinić 1–1
J. Iličić
2–1 G. Higuaín ⚽
75′
80′
🔁 G. Rossi
↦ J. Iličić
P. Evra 🔁
↦ P. Dybala
85′
Hernanes 🔁
↦ S. Khedira
88′
90′
🟨 Nenad Tomović
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Juventus

3-5-2
1 G. Buffon
15 A. Barzagli D
23 Dani Alves D
19 L. Bonucci D
3 G. Chiellini D
12 Alex Sandro D
6 S. Khedira M
22 K. Asamoah D
18 M. Lemina M
17 M. Mandžukić F
21 P. Dybala F
Bench (12)
9 G. Higuaín
33 P. Evra
11 Hernanes
4 M. Benatia
5 M. Pjanić
7 S. Zaza
20 M. Pjaca
24 D. Rugani
25 Neto
26 S. Lichtsteiner
32 E. Audero
39 L. Marrone

Coach: M. Allegri

Fiorentina

3-4-3
12 C. Tătărușanu G
2 G. Rodríguez D
40 N. Tomović D
13 D. Astori D
28 Marcos Alonso M
72 J. Iličić F
5 M. Badelj M
8 M. Vecino M
25 F. Chiesa F
9 N. Kalinić F
10 F. Bernardeschi M
Bench (12)
16 Cristian Tello
6 C. Sánchez
22 G. Rossi
4 S. De Maio
31 H. Milić
1 L. Lezzerini
7 M. Zárate
14 M. Fernández
17 K. Diks
24 I. Hagi
30 K. Babacar
97 B. Drągowski

Coach: Paulo Sousa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Davide Massa · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.