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Ligue 1

Referee: Amaury Delerue

Lorient

T T T S T

0–3

Full-time

Bastia

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,0

1,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

3,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

52% Possession 48%

10 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 4

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lorient 15. · Bastia 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Metz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Nantes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Caen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Guingamp	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Lille	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Metz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Caen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Guingamp	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Lille	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Caen	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.