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Eredivisie

Referee: Edwin Van de Graaf

Nijmegen

T T T U U

2–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

28% Possession 72%

11 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nijmegen 10. · Heerenveen 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Den Haag	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Vitesse	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Heracles	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Ajax	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Willem II	3	1	0	2	-4	3
10	Nijmegen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Roda	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-7	1
16	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Twente	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Nijmegen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Ajax	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Roda	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-5	0
17	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Nijmegen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Zwolle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Twente	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.