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Pro League
Referee: Luc Wouters
Eupen
S T T T T
3–2
Full-time
Gent
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
3,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 10/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
20%
80%
Points per game
0,7
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
90%
60%
Both score Ø 65%
70%
60%
Average goals
3,9
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
2,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

7 Corners 4
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Eupen 16. · Gent 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 8 7 0 1 +13 21
2 Anderlecht 8 5 2 1 +8 17
3 Genk 11 5 2 4 -1 17
4 Standard 10 4 4 2 +6 16
5 Kortrijk 11 4 4 3 +2 16
6 Mechelen 11 4 3 4 +2 15
7 Gent 5 4 1 0 +7 13
8 Club Brugge 7 4 1 2 +5 13
9 Charleroi 6 3 3 0 +3 12
10 Oostende 7 3 2 2 +1 11
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 11 3 1 7 -7 10
12 Lokeren 11 3 1 7 -7 10
13 St Truiden 11 2 3 6 -4 9
14 Beveren 10 2 3 5 -5 9
15 Westerlo 11 2 3 6 -10 9
16 Eupen 10 2 1 7 -13 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Gent
12′
🟨 Ofir Davidzada
Fahad Shanin 🟨
30′
31′
D. Miličević 0–1
Half-time 0–1
50′
🟨 Ofir Davidzada
50′
🟥 Ofir Davidzada
55′
🔁 S. Mitrović
↦ B. Dejaegere
Cases 🔁
↦ J. Amani
62′
63′
Renato Neto 0–2
K. Coulibaly
A. Bassey 🔁
↦ G. Jamabo
70′
1–2 M. Sylla
70′
76′
🔁 M. Simon
↦ D. Miličević
78′
🔁 T. Foket
↦ D. NDongala
F. Taulemesse 🔁
↦ Fahad Al-Abdulrahman
83′
Jose Maria Cases 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Renato Neto
2–2 Cases
S. Blondelle
90′
3–2 F. Taulemesse
Cases
93′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Eupen

1 H. Van Crombrugge G
22 S. Blondelle D
5 D. Diagné D
3 Fahad Al-Abdulrahman
2 I. Diallo D
25 G. Jamabo M
8 J. Amani M
10 Luis García F
9 Jeffren F
20 M. Sylla F
21 H. Onyekuru F
Bench (7)
91 Cases
11 A. Bassey
19 F. Taulemesse
18 G. Dufour
27 N. Radebe
30 B. Niasse
42 P. Hackenberg

Coach: Jordi Condom

Gent

1 J. Rinne G
21 N. Asare D
55 R. Gershon D
5 O. Davidzada M
23 L. Nielsen D
77 D. Miličević F
10 Renato Neto M
19 B. Dejaegere F
16 R. Schoofs
7 K. Coulibaly F
88 D. N'Dongala F
Bench (7)
13 S. Mitrović
27 M. Simon
32 T. Foket
17 H. Van der Bruggen
20 Y. Thoelen
24 J. Perbet
44 A. Esiti

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luc Wouters · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
14,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.