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Primeira Liga
Referee: Tiago Martins
Moreirense
T T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Rio Ave
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Rio Ave
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
14%
43%
Points per game
0,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
29%
57%
Both score Ø 43%
14%
71%
Average goals
2,0
2,6
Scored
0,6
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 16
6 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Moreirense 18. · Rio Ave 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 8 6 1 1 +14 19
2 Benfica 7 6 1 0 +13 19
3 Sp Lisbon 8 5 2 1 +7 17
4 Sp Braga 7 4 2 1 +5 14
5 Chaves 7 3 3 1 +2 12
6 Guimaraes 7 3 2 2 +1 11
7 Rio Ave 7 3 1 3 +0 10
8 Maritimo 8 3 1 4 -3 10
9 Feirense 8 3 1 4 -7 10
10 Pacos Ferreira 8 2 3 3 +0 9
11 Vitoria Setubal 8 2 3 3 -1 9
12 Boavista 8 2 3 3 -2 9
13 Belenenses 7 2 3 2 -2 9
14 Estoril 7 2 1 4 -4 7
15 Nacional 8 2 1 5 -5 7
16 Tondela 8 1 3 4 -5 6
17 Arouca 8 1 2 5 -7 5
18 Moreirense 7 1 1 5 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moreirense Rio Ave
22′
🟨 Heldon
Roberto 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
D. Ramírez 🔁
↦ Daniel Podence
46′
46′
🔁 Pedrinho
↦ Lionn
61′
🔁 L. Kizito
↦ João Novais
Alan Schons 🔁
↦ Neto
62′
Nildo Petrolina 🔁
↦ Roberto
70′
Francisco Geraldes 🟨
71′
73′
🟨 Roderick Miranda
1–0 Cauê
Nildo Petrolina
74′
Diego Galo 🟨
75′
77′
Roderick 1–1
Pierre Sagna 🟨
78′
78′
🟨 Heldon
78′
🟥 Heldon
Andre Micael 🟨
84′
88′
🔁 Gil Dias
↦ Rúben Ribeiro
Caue 🟨
89′
90′
🟨 Roderick Miranda
90′
🟥 Roderick Miranda
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Moreirense

4-3-3
1 G. Makaridze G
95 P. Sagna D
3 André Micael D
6 Jander D
44 Diego Galo D
5 Pedro Rebocho D
18 Cauê M
91 Neto M
8 Chico Geraldes M
9 Roberto F
56 Daniel Podence M
Bench (7)
21 D. Ramírez
7 Alan Schons
16 Nildo Petrolina
2 Tiago Almeida
14 Diego Ivo
29 E. Boateng
99 Pedro Taborda

Coach: Pepa

Rio Ave

4-2-3-1
1 Cássio
12 Lionn D
46 Marcelo D
25 Roderick D
55 Rafa D
70 Rúben Ribeiro M
8 Tarantini M
30 A. Wakaso M
20 João Novais M
88 Yazalde F
24 Héldon M
Bench (7)
26 Pedrinho
17 L. Kizito
31 Gil Dias
6 Pedro Moreira
14 Vilas Boas
71 Rui Vieira
75 T. Chérif

Coach: Nuno Capucho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tiago Martins · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,47 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.