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Ligue 1

Referee: Amaury Delerue

Bastia

S T S T U

1–0

Full-time

Guingamp

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,7

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,7

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

11 Shots 3

6 Shots on target 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 1

4 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bastia 12. · Guingamp 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	6	4	2	0	+7	14
2	Toulouse	7	4	2	1	+6	14
3	Paris SG	7	4	1	2	+9	13
4	Monaco	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Bordeaux	6	4	0	2	+3	12
6	Guingamp	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Lyon	7	3	1	3	+4	10
8	Rennes	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	Metz	6	3	1	2	+0	10
10	St Etienne	6	2	3	1	+2	9
11	Angers	6	3	0	3	+0	9
12	Bastia	6	2	1	3	+0	7
13	Montpellier	6	1	3	2	-5	6
14	Lorient	7	2	0	5	-7	6
15	Caen	6	2	0	4	-8	6
16	Marseille	6	1	2	3	-1	5
17	Nantes	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Nancy	6	1	2	3	-5	5
19	Lille	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Dijon	6	1	1	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Toulouse	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Rennes	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Paris SG	3	2	1	0	+6	7
5	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	St Etienne	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Guingamp	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Lyon	3	2	0	1	+4	6
9	Angers	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Bordeaux	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Metz	3	2	0	1	+0	6
12	Caen	3	2	0	1	-3	6
13	Lorient	4	2	0	2	-3	6
14	Marseille	3	1	2	0	+2	5
15	Montpellier	3	1	2	0	+1	5
16	Dijon	3	1	1	1	+1	4
17	Bastia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
18	Lille	3	1	0	2	-3	3
19	Nantes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Nancy	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	2	0	2	+3	6
2	Bordeaux	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Monaco	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Toulouse	4	1	2	1	+0	5
5	Guingamp	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Nice	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Lyon	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Metz	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Nancy	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Bastia	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Angers	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	St Etienne	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Lille	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Rennes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Montpellier	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Marseille	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Lorient	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Caen	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Dijon	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.