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Championship
Referee: Tony Harrington
Burton Albion
T U S U T
0–4
Full-time
Wolves
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burton Albion Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,2
This season — Championship · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
0,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
0,6
1,5
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burton Albion 19. · Wolves 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cardiff 10 7 2 1 +8 23
2 Sheffield United 10 7 0 3 +6 21
3 Leeds 10 6 2 2 +10 20
4 Wolves 10 6 2 2 +4 20
5 Preston 10 5 4 1 +7 19
6 Ipswich 9 6 0 3 +6 18
7 Bristol City 10 4 5 1 +7 17
8 Fulham 11 4 5 2 +4 17
9 Aston Villa 9 4 3 2 +6 15
10 Norwich 10 4 3 3 -3 15
11 Middlesbrough 9 4 2 3 +4 14
12 Millwall 10 3 4 3 +3 13
13 Sheffield Weds 10 3 4 3 +0 13
14 QPR 11 3 4 4 -1 13
15 Derby 9 3 3 3 +0 12
16 Nott'm Forest 10 4 0 6 -5 12
17 Hull 10 2 3 5 -2 9
18 Reading 9 2 3 4 -2 9
19 Burton Albion 10 2 3 5 -13 9
20 Brentford 10 1 5 4 -2 8
21 Barnsley 9 2 2 5 -4 8
22 Birmingham 10 2 2 6 -7 8
23 Sunderland 10 1 3 6 -9 6
24 Bolton 10 0 2 8 -17 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burton Albion Wolves
5′
Diogo Jota 0–1
Ivan Cavaleiro
11′
R. Saïss 0–2
41′
Rúben Vinagre 0–3
Ivan Cavaleiro
Half-time 0–3
T. Naylor 🔁
↦ T. Flanagan
46′
51′
🔁 Léo Bonatini
↦ Hélder Costa
M. Sordell 🔁
↦ H. Akpan
58′
62′
Léo Bonatini 0–4
M. Doherty
L. Varney 🔁
↦ S. Scannell
67′
74′
🔁 J. Price
↦ Rúben Neves
77′
🔁 C. Ronan
↦ Diogo Jota
Luke Varney 🟨
78′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Burton Albion

3-5-2
1 S. Bywater G
3 S. Warnock M
5 K. McFadzean D
23 J. Buxton D
12 T. Flanagan D
9 S. Scannell M
11 L. Dyer M
7 L. Murphy M
21 H. Akpan M
4 J. Allen M
10 L. Akins F
Bench (7)
15 T. Naylor
17 M. Sordell
16 L. Varney
8 M. Lund
13 C. Ripley
19 M. Palmer
25 S. Barker

Coach: N. Clough

Wolves

3-4-3
21 J. Ruddy
5 R. Bennett D
6 D. Batth D
25 Roderick D
2 M. Doherty M
29 Rúben Vinagre M
17 Hélder Costa F
27 R. Saïss M
8 Rúben Neves M
18 Diogo Jota F
7 Ivan Cavaleiro F
Bench (7)
33 Léo Bonatini
19 J. Price
20 C. Ronan
4 A. N'Diaye
26 B. Enobakhare
31 W. Norris
32 S. Deslandes

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tony Harrington · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.