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Ligue 1
Referee: Clement Turpin
Montpellier
T U T T S
0–0
Full-time
Paris SG
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,5
4,0
Scored
0,7
3,5
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+3,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,5
4,0
Scored
0,7
3,5
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

25% Possession 75%
5 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 11
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Montpellier 12. · Paris SG 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 6 6 0 0 +18 18
2 Monaco 7 6 0 1 +13 18
3 St Etienne 6 4 1 1 +3 13
4 Bordeaux 6 3 3 0 +4 12
5 Lyon 6 3 2 1 +4 11
6 Nice 7 3 1 3 +2 10
7 Marseille 6 3 1 2 -1 10
8 Nantes 6 3 1 2 -1 10
9 Caen 6 3 0 3 +1 9
10 Guingamp 6 3 0 3 -1 9
11 Angers 7 1 5 1 +1 8
12 Montpellier 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Toulouse 6 2 1 3 -4 7
14 Amiens 6 2 0 4 -5 6
15 Rennes 6 1 2 3 -1 5
16 Troyes 6 1 2 3 -2 5
17 Lille 7 1 2 4 -7 5
18 Dijon 6 1 1 4 -7 4
19 Strasbourg 6 1 1 4 -7 4
20 Metz 6 1 0 5 -9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Montpellier Paris SG
12′
🟨 Marquinhos
Casimir Ninga 🟨
31′
Pedro Mendes 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
66′
🔁 Lucas Moura
↦ J. Draxler
F. Píriz 🔁
↦ S. Sambia
70′
N. Mukiele 🔁
↦ J. Roussillon
71′
71′
🔁 Dani Alves
↦ T. Meunier
75′
🟨 Lucas Moura
80′
🔁 G. Lo Celso
↦ T. Motta
I. Mbenza 🔁
↦ C. Ninga
82′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Montpellier

5-3-2
40 B. Lecomte G
3 D. Congré D
4 Hilton D
5 Pedro Mendes D
24 J. Roussillon D
2 R. Aguilar M
28 S. Sessègnon M
7 P. Lasne M
13 E. Skhiri M
6 S. Sambia M
29 C. Ninga F
Bench (7)
27 F. Píriz
23 N. Mukiele
18 I. Mbenza
1 L. Pionnier
11 K. Bérigaud
19 S. Camara
20 K. Dolly

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Paris SG

4-3-3
16 A. Areola G
2 Thiago Silva D
17 Yuri D
12 T. Meunier D
5 Marquinhos D
8 T. Motta M
6 M. Verratti M
23 J. Draxler M
25 A. Rabiot M
9 E. Cavani F
29 K. Mbappé F
Bench (7)
7 Lucas Moura
32 Dani Alves
18 G. Lo Celso
1 K. Trapp
3 P. Kimpembe
20 L. Kurzawa
24 C. Nkunku

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Clement Turpin · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.