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Eredivisie
Referee: Dennis Higler
Nijmegen
T U U S T
0–4
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,0
This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
25%
75%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

39% Possession 61%
6 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nijmegen 11. · PSV Eindhoven 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 4 4 0 0 +11 12
2 PSV Eindhoven 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Den Haag 4 3 1 0 +5 10
4 Ajax 4 2 1 1 +4 7
5 Vitesse 4 2 1 1 +3 7
6 AZ Alkmaar 4 2 1 1 +3 7
7 Twente 4 2 0 2 +0 6
8 Sparta Rotterdam 4 2 0 2 +0 6
9 Excelsior 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 Heracles 4 1 2 1 +1 5
11 Nijmegen 4 1 2 1 -1 5
12 Heerenveen 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Willem II 5 1 1 3 -6 4
14 Roda 4 0 3 1 -1 3
15 Utrecht 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Zwolle 5 0 2 3 -8 2
17 Go Ahead Eagles 4 0 1 3 -7 1
18 Groningen 4 0 1 3 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nijmegen PSV Eindhoven
4′
B. Ramselaar 0–1
L. de Jong
10′
G. Pereiro 0–2
L. de Jong
Dario Đumić 🟨
16′
20′
J. Brenet 0–3
G. Pereiro
24′
L. de Jong 0–4
D. Pröpper
André Fomitschow 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–4
61′
🔁 D. Schwaab
↦ H. Moreno
M. Heinloth 🔁
↦ T. Awoniyi
72′
72′
🔁 S. Bergwijn
↦ L. Narsingh
80′
🔁 R. Lundqvist
↦ B. Ramselaar
A. Groeneveld 🔁
↦ R. Ofosu
85′
F. Gmeiner 🔁
↦ A. Fomitschow
88′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Nijmegen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Delle G
3 D. Dumić D
24 A. Fomitschow D
4 W. Golla D
15 R. Buwalda D
34 G. Breinburg M
8 Janio Bikel M
21 Q. Owusu-Abeyie F
14 R. Ofosu F
18 K. Mayi F
9 T. Awoniyi F
Bench (10)
2 M. Heinloth
47 A. Groeneveld
27 F. Gmeiner
6 M. Dyrestam
7 S. Lundholm
10 S. Mauk
17 J. Grot
22 J. Smits
23 M. van Duin
37 J. Leiwakabessy

Coach: P. Hyballa

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
3 H. Moreno D
2 N. Isimat-Mirin D
15 J. Willems M
20 J. Brenet D
6 D. Pröpper M
8 J. Hendrix M
23 B. Ramselaar M
9 L. de Jong F
11 L. Narsingh M
7 G. Pereiro M
Bench (9)
5 D. Schwaab
27 S. Bergwijn
38 R. Lundqvist
4 S. Arias
14 S. Poulsen
17 F. Jozefzoon
18 A. Guardado
22 R. Pasveer
31 H. Jurjus

Coach: P. Cocu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dennis Higler · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.