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Eredivisie
Referee: Siemen Mulder
Vitesse
U U T T U
2–2
Full-time
Excelsior
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Excelsior
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
31%
31%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
46%
62%
Both score Ø 66%
69%
62%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

63% Possession 37%
14 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 7. · Excelsior 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 13 10 2 1 +24 32
2 Ajax 13 9 3 1 +20 30
3 PSV Eindhoven 13 7 5 1 +14 26
4 Heerenveen 12 6 4 2 +11 22
5 Twente 13 5 5 3 +4 20
6 AZ Alkmaar 11 4 6 1 +6 18
7 Vitesse 13 4 4 5 +1 16
8 Utrecht 11 4 4 3 +1 16
9 Sparta Rotterdam 13 4 4 5 +0 16
10 Heracles 13 3 6 4 -3 15
11 Den Haag 13 4 2 7 -7 14
12 Willem II 14 3 5 6 -8 14
13 Excelsior 13 4 1 8 -8 13
14 Zwolle 13 3 4 6 -12 13
15 Nijmegen 13 2 6 5 -12 12
16 Go Ahead Eagles 14 3 2 9 -12 11
17 Groningen 12 2 4 6 -8 10
18 Roda 13 1 7 5 -11 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Excelsior
7′
⚽ H. Faik 0–1
N. Hasselbaink
14′
⚽ H. Faik 0–2
N. Hasselbaink
24′
🟨 Jurgen Matheij
1–2 R. van Wolfswinkel ⚽
25′
40′
🟨 Kevin Vermeulen
Half-time 1–2
56′
🟨 Bas Kuipers
M. Rashica 🔁
↦ M. van Bergen
61′
A. Tighadouini 🔁
↦ A. Koryan
62′
2–2 A. Tighadouini ⚽
M. Rashica
73′
A. Dauda 🔁
↦ R. van Wolfswinkel
74′
76′
🔁 M. van Duinen
↦ N. Hasselbaink
83′
🔁 D. Pantić
↦ S. Elbers
91′
🔁 T. Ondaan
↦ Fredy
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Vitesse

4-3-3
1 E. Room G
6 A. Kruiswijk D
8 K. Ota D
37 G. Kashia D
5 K. Leerdam D
21 S. Yeini M
25 N. Foor M
34 L. Baker M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
30 A. Koryan F
16 M. van Bergen F
Bench (8)
7 M. Rashica
10 A. Tighadouini
14 A. Dauda
11 Nathan
19 M. Miazga
20 M. Osman
24 J. Houwen
29 J. Lelieveld

Coach: H. Fraser

Excelsior

4-3-3
22 T. Muyters G
4 H. Drost D
15 J. Mattheij D
2 K. Karami D
5 B. Kuipers D
12 Jeffry Fortes D
24 H. Faik M
18 K. Vermeulen M
17 Fredy F
7 N. Hasselbaink F
11 S. Elbers F
Bench (9)
29 M. van Duinen
21 D. Pantić
9 T. Ondaan
1 F. Kurto
3 L. Owusu
16 M. Havekotte
20 E. Brito
23 M. Massop
34 D. Haspolat

Coach: M. van der Gaag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Siemen Mulder · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.