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Ligue 2
Referee: A Valnet
Bastia
T S U U T
2–1
Full-time
Niort
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Niort
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 33%
44%
21%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
32%
56%
Both score Ø 43%
38%
47%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
20 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bastia 4. · Niort 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 34 19 14 1 +29 71
2 Bordeaux 35 19 9 7 +22 66
3 Metz 34 17 11 6 +25 62
4 Bastia 34 15 8 11 +3 53
5 Sochaux 34 15 7 12 +18 52
6 Caen 34 14 10 10 +6 52
7 Grenoble 34 14 8 12 +1 50
8 St Etienne 34 13 10 11 +3 49
9 Quevilly Rouen 35 12 13 10 +2 49
10 Paris FC 34 13 8 13 +0 47
11 Guingamp 34 12 9 13 +0 45
12 Amiens 34 12 8 14 -8 44
13 Rodez 34 10 11 13 -5 41
14 Pau FC 34 10 10 14 -10 40
15 Valenciennes 34 8 14 12 -8 38
16 Annecy 34 9 11 14 -13 38
17 Laval 34 11 4 19 -13 37
18 Dijon 34 8 11 15 -8 35
19 Nimes 34 9 6 19 -15 33
20 Niort 34 7 6 21 -29 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bastia Niort
L. Palun 🔁
↦ A. NDiaye
20′
44′
🟨 Oumar Ngom
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Dylan Durivaux
1–0 K. Van Den Kerkhof
49′
Dylan Tavares 🟨
53′
54′
O. Ngom 1–1
A. Sagna
M. Alfarela 🔁
↦ Y. Baï
63′
F. Bohnert 🔁
↦ Dylan Tavares
63′
2–1 B. Santelli
71′
Lloyd Palun 🟨
73′
80′
🔁 R. Bakayoko
↦ N. Elphege
80′
🔁 S. Benchamma
↦ C. Kaboré
K. Schur 🔁
↦ B. Santelli
82′
J. Janneh 🔁
↦ K. Djoco
83′
89′
🔁 Y. Merdji
↦ A. Sagna
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Bastia

3-4-3
30 J. Placide G
6 D. Guidi D
25 A. N'Diaye D
20 K. Kaïboué D
22 K. Van Den Kerkhof M
13 T. Ducrocq M
10 S. Salles-Lamonge M
42 Dylan Tavares M
39 K. Djoco F
9 B. Santelli F
96 Y. Baï F
Bench (7)
23 L. Palun
27 M. Alfarela
15 F. Bohnert
8 K. Schur
66 J. Janneh
28 J. Sainati
1 Z. Boucher

Coach: R. Brouard

Niort

4-1-4-1
16 J. Louchet G
14 D. Durivaux D
18 B. M'bondo D
5 G. Kilama D
2 Q. Bernard D
25 C. Kaboré M
10 B. Boutobba M
36 O. Ngom M
7 M. Zemzemi M
20 A. Sagna M
37 N. Elphege F
Bench (7)
22 R. Bakayoko
26 S. Benchamma
11 Y. Merdji
30 Y. Maronne
4 I. Conté
17 S. Renel
24 T. Tormin

Coach: B. Simondi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,50
U
4,08
B
6,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Valnet · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.