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Primeira Liga
Referee: Vitor Ferreira
Rio Ave
T S U S T
3–1
Full-time
Maritimo
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Maritimo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rio Ave 17. · Maritimo 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Sp Lisbon 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Porto 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Sp Braga 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Feirense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Vitoria Setubal 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 Maritimo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Belenenses 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Boavista 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Chaves 2 1 0 1 -3 3
11 Tondela 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Aves 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Guimaraes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Santa Clara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Nacional 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Moreirense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Rio Ave 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Portimonense 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rio Ave Maritimo
1–0 Bruno Moreira
Gabrielzinho
12′
17′
🟨 Bebeto
2–0 Gelson
Bruno Moreira
40′
42′
🟨 Fabricio Baiano
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Jean Cleber
↦ Edgar Costa
N. Jambor 🔁
↦ Tarantini
66′
Buatu 🟨
72′
73′
Joel 2–1
João Schmidt 🔁
↦ Gelson
74′
77′
🔁 Valente
↦ Danny
D. Furtado 🔁
↦ Gabrielzinho
80′
86′
🔁 Éverton Nascimento
↦ Fabricio Baiano
3–1 D. Furtado
87′
88′
🟨 Joel Tagueu
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Rio Ave

4-2-3-1
20 Leonardo G
5 Jonathan Buatu
25 Afonso Figueiredo D
22 Nadjack D
6 T. Borevković D
8 Tarantini M
21 Leandrinho M
9 Bruno Moreira F
26 Gabrielzinho M
90 Galeno M
57 Gelson F
Bench (7)
23 N. Jambor
15 João Schmidt
91 D. Furtado
2 Matheus Reis
3 Miguel Rodrigues
77 Ricardo Schutte
98 Carlos Alves

Coach: José Gomes

Maritimo

4-3-3
1 A. Abedzadeh G
2 Bebeto D
5 Zainadine Junior D
17 Rúben Ferreira D
6 Lucas Áfrico D
10 Danny M
8 J. Correa M
27 Fabricio Baiano M
12 Edgar Costa F
95 Joel F
9 Rodrigo Pinho F
Bench (7)
15 Jean Cleber
33 Valente
11 Éverton Nascimento
4 Marcos
21 Gamboa
45 Fábio China
94 Charles

Coach: Cláudio Braga

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Vitor Ferreira · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.