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Eredivisie
Referee: Siemen Mulder
Zwolle
S T U T T
2–3
Full-time
Den Haag
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
58%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,8
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

68% Possession 32%
13 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 9
6 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 15. · Den Haag 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 12 12 0 0 +38 36
2 Ajax 12 10 1 1 +32 31
3 Feyenoord 11 7 2 2 +9 23
4 Heracles 12 6 2 4 +1 20
5 AZ Alkmaar 12 5 3 4 +4 18
6 VVV Venlo 11 5 3 3 +2 18
7 Utrecht 11 5 3 3 +2 18
8 Heerenveen 12 3 5 4 -3 14
9 For Sittard 12 3 4 5 -1 13
10 Willem II 12 3 4 5 -3 13
11 FC Emmen 12 3 4 5 -12 13
12 Vitesse 10 3 3 4 -1 12
13 Den Haag 12 3 3 6 -11 12
14 Excelsior 12 3 3 6 -13 12
15 Zwolle 12 3 2 7 -9 11
16 Groningen 11 3 1 7 -7 10
17 De Graafschap 12 3 1 8 -14 10
18 NAC Breda 12 2 2 8 -14 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Den Haag
1–0 T. Lam ⚽
7′
17′
⚽ A. El Khayati 1–1
2–1 C. Leemans ⚽
18′
24′
⚽ A. El Khayati 2–2
M. Lorenzen
Half-time 2–2
Vito van Crooy 🟨
55′
57′
🟨 Erik Falkenburg
D. Genreau 🔁
↦ G. Hamer
59′
G. Scamacca 🔁
↦ R. Dekker
76′
78′
🔁 Zhang Yuning
↦ E. Falkenburg
83′
⚽ N. Kuipers 2–3
A. El Khayati
84′
🟨 Danny Bakker
D. Lachman 🔁
↦ T. Lam
84′
87′
🔁 T. Goppel
↦ S. Becker
93′
🔁 T. Beugelsdijk
↦ A. El Khayati
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
16 M. van der Hart G
3 T. Lam D
5 K. Paal D
20 K. Ehizibue D
33 S. van den Berg D
8 C. Leemans M
21 Y. Namli F
19 R. Dekker M
6 G. Hamer M
9 M. van Duinen F
7 V. van Crooij F
Bench (8)
17 D. Genreau
10 G. Scamacca
29 D. Lachman
1 D. Boer
15 R. Ligeon
22 T. van den Belt
23 D. Bouzanis
34 O. Bouy

Coach: J. van 't Schip

Den Haag

4-2-3-1
22 R. Zwinkels G
8 A. Meijers D
20 N. Kuipers D
5 W. Kanon D
3 G. Troupée D
30 E. Falkenburg F
10 L. Immers M
23 A. El Khayati M
17 D. Bakker M
7 S. Becker F
33 M. Lorenzen F
Bench (11)
97 Zhang Yuning
26 T. Goppel
4 T. Beugelsdijk
1 I. Groothuizen
2 D. Malone
9 T. Necid
11 J. Goossens
15 B. Kuipers
18 M. Havekotte
19 S. Pinas
25 R. Polley

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Siemen Mulder · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.