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Pro League
Referee: Wesley Alen
Antwerp
U S T S S
1–1
Full-time
St Truiden
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 64%
60%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
60%
80%
Points per game
2,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,6
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antwerp 4. · St Truiden 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Royal Excel Mouscron 6 4 1 1 +2 13
2 Club Brugge 5 4 0 1 +7 12
3 St Truiden 5 4 0 1 +2 12
4 Antwerp 5 3 1 1 +1 10
5 Waregem 5 3 0 2 +9 9
6 Charleroi 3 3 0 0 +5 9
7 Genk 3 2 1 0 +3 7
8 Anderlecht 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Kortrijk 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Lokeren 6 2 0 4 -4 6
11 Beveren 5 1 2 2 +1 5
12 Mechelen 5 0 3 2 -2 3
13 Eupen 5 1 0 4 -10 3
14 Gent 4 0 1 3 -3 1
15 Standard 3 0 1 2 -5 1
16 Oostende 5 0 0 5 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp St Truiden
Sambou Yatabare 🟨
13′
45′
🟨 Charis Charisis
Half-time 0–0
J. Dequevy 🔁
↦ S. Limbombe
59′
62′
🔁 Vetokele
↦ J. Legear
W. Owusu 🔁
↦ R. Jaadi
65′
68′
🟨 Stelios Kitsiou
72′
Y. Boli 0–1
H. Harisis
73′
🟨 Jordan Botaka
J. Van Damme 🔁
↦ A. Corryn
75′
75′
🔁 R. Bezus
↦ Y. Boli
1–1 W. Owusu
78′
81′
🟨 Sascha Kotysch
Jelle Van Damme 🟨
85′
85′
🔁 D. Dussaut
↦ J. Botaka
William Owusu 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
1 S. Bolat G
15 D. Arslanagic D
25 A. Corryn D
21 D. Batubinsika D
38 F. Haroun M
60 S. Yatabaré M
20 G. Hairemans M
7 R. Jaadi F
2 Matheus D
9 S. Limbombe M
8 Ivo Rodrigues F
Bench (7)
11 J. Dequevy
19 W. Owusu
37 J. Van Damme
18 N. Ghandri
40 Y. Achter
12 A. Ježina
27 Z. Randriambololona

Coach: L. Bölöni

St Truiden

4-4-2
21 L. Pirard G
23 S. Kotysch D
26 Jorge Teixeira D
15 S. Kitsiou D
6 S. De Petter M
27 J. Legear F
8 H. Harisis M
24 C. De Norre M
5 A. De Sart M
11 Y. Boli F
7 J. Botaka F
Bench (7)
14 Vetokele
10 R. Bezus
20 D. Dussaut
1 K. Steppe
12 S. Asamoah
25 K. Abrahams
28 D. Goutas

Coach: Tintín Márquez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wesley Alen · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.