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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Mota da Silva

Tondela

S U T T S

2–2

Full-time

Pacos Ferreira

U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tondela Pacos Ferreira

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

14 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

25 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tondela 9. · Pacos Ferreira 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Benfica	5	4	1	0	+9	13
3	Porto	4	4	0	0	+9	12
4	Rio Ave	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Maritimo	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Feirense	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Sp Braga	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Estoril	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Tondela	4	1	1	2	+1	4
10	Belenenses	4	1	1	2	-5	4
11	Guimaraes	4	1	1	2	-7	4
12	Vitoria Setubal	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Boavista	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Portimonense	5	1	0	4	-4	3
15	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Moreirense	4	0	2	2	-6	2
17	Chaves	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Aves	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Rio Ave	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Porto	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Maritimo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Feirense	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Boavista	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	-4	3
13	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Tondela	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Chaves	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Aves	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Porto	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Tondela	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Feirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Estoril	3	1	0	2	-4	3
10	Chaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Aves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Guimaraes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Portimonense	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Belenenses	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.