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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Arsenal
S S S T T
3–0
Full-time
Bournemouth
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Bournemouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
2,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Arsenal 16. · Bournemouth 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 4 3 1 0 +8 10
2 Man United 3 3 0 0 +10 9
3 Huddersfield 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 West Brom 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Liverpool 4 2 1 1 +0 7
6 Chelsea 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Watford 3 1 2 0 +2 5
8 Southampton 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Tottenham 3 1 1 1 +1 4
10 Burnley 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Stoke 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Everton 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Swansea 3 1 1 1 -2 4
14 Newcastle 3 1 0 2 +0 3
15 Leicester 3 1 0 2 -1 3
16 Arsenal 3 1 0 2 -4 3
17 Brighton 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Bournemouth 3 0 0 3 -4 0
19 Crystal Palace 3 0 0 3 -6 0
20 West Ham 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Arsenal Bournemouth
1–0 D. Welbeck
S. Kolašinac
6′
2–0 A. Lacazette
D. Welbeck
27′
38′
🔁 J. Ibe
↦ R. Fraser
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 S. Francis
↦ T. Mings
3–0 D. Welbeck
A. Ramsey
50′
F. Coquelin 🔁
↦ A. Ramsey
67′
71′
🔁 L. Mousset
↦ J. Defoe
A. Sánchez 🔁
↦ D. Welbeck
75′
O. Giroud 🔁
↦ A. Lacazette
75′
76′
🟨 Simon Francis
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Arsenal

3-4-2-1
33 P. Čech G
18 Nacho Monreal D
6 L. Koscielny D
20 S. Mustafi D
31 S. Kolašinac M
24 Bellerín M
11 M. Özil F
8 A. Ramsey M
29 G. Xhaka M
23 D. Welbeck F
9 A. Lacazette F
Bench (7)
34 F. Coquelin
7 A. Sánchez
12 O. Giroud
4 P. Mertesacker
13 D. Ospina
14 T. Walcott
17 A. Iwobi

Coach: A. Wenger

Bournemouth

3-5-1-1
27 A. Begović G
11 C. Daniels M
15 A. Smith M
3 S. Cook D
5 N. Aké D
26 T. Mings D
4 D. Gosling M
8 H. Arter M
24 R. Fraser M
18 J. Defoe F
17 J. King F
Bench (7)
33 J. Ibe
2 S. Francis
31 L. Mousset
1 A. Boruc
6 A. Surman
7 M. Pugh
16 L. Cook

Coach: E. Howe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.