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Süper Lig

Referee: D Tonusluoğlu

Fenerbahce

S S U S U

3–0

Full-time

Kayserispor

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Kayserispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 56%

80%

31%

Points per game

2,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

66%

46%

Both score Ø 59%

60%

57%

Average goals

3,4

2,6

Scored

2,5

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,97 xG 0,45

50% Possession 50%

25 Shots 10

15 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 12

7 Corners 3

3 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Kayserispor 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	35	31	3	1	+64	+46.8	96
2	Fenerbahce	35	28	6	1	+58	+56.9	90
3	Trabzonspor	35	18	4	13	+13	+1.8	58
4	Buyuksehyr	35	16	7	12	+10	+2.3	55
5	Besiktas	35	16	6	13	+6	+11.1	54
6	Alanyaspor	35	12	13	10	+3	+5.8	49
7	Kasimpasa	35	14	7	14	-6	-10.3	49
8	Rizespor	36	14	7	15	-8	-6.4	49
9	Sivasspor	35	12	12	11	-9	-6.2	48
10	Antalyaspor	35	11	12	12	-4	-3.6	45
11	Ad. Demirspor	35	10	14	11	+3	-2.6	44
12	Kayserispor	35	11	11	13	-9	-10.1	44
13	Samsunspor	35	11	9	15	-5	+6.1	42
14	Ankaragücü	36	8	15	13	-4	-6.0	39
15	Karagumruk	35	9	10	16	-2	-13.4	37
16	Hatayspor	36	8	13	15	-9	-6.4	37
17	Konyaspor	35	8	13	14	-14	-12.6	37
18	Pendikspor	36	9	9	18	-30	-10.8	36
19	Gaziantep	35	9	8	18	-15	-15.9	35
20	İstanbulspor	35	4	7	24	-42	-26.5	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	18	18	0	0	+37	+31.9	54
2	Fenerbahce	17	13	3	1	+30	+31.0	42
3	Rizespor	18	11	4	3	+13	+5.9	37
4	Samsunspor	18	10	4	4	+11	+8.5	34
5	Buyuksehyr	18	10	3	5	+12	+4.1	33
6	Besiktas	18	10	3	5	+10	+7.9	33
7	Ad. Demirspor	17	9	4	4	+12	+6.3	31
8	Trabzonspor	17	10	1	6	+8	+6.7	31
9	Antalyaspor	18	7	8	3	+3	+0.1	29
10	Karagumruk	17	7	6	4	+14	-0.9	27
11	Alanyaspor	17	7	6	4	+6	+4.4	27
12	Sivasspor	17	6	8	3	+4	+3.6	26
13	Ankaragücü	18	6	8	4	+3	+0.4	26
14	Hatayspor	18	6	7	5	+2	-2.3	25
15	Kayserispor	18	6	7	5	+2	+2.0	25
16	Kasimpasa	17	7	4	6	-2	-4.7	25
17	Gaziantep	18	5	6	7	-5	-7.4	21
18	Pendikspor	18	6	3	9	-10	-4.0	21
19	Konyaspor	17	5	5	7	-1	-0.7	20
20	İstanbulspor	18	2	3	13	-23	-16.6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	18	15	3	0	+28	+26.0	48
2	Galatasaray	17	13	3	1	+27	+14.9	42
3	Trabzonspor	18	8	3	7	+5	-4.9	27
4	Kasimpasa	18	7	3	8	-4	-5.6	24
5	Buyuksehyr	17	6	4	7	-2	-1.8	22
6	Alanyaspor	18	5	7	6	-3	+1.5	22
7	Sivasspor	18	6	4	8	-13	-9.8	22
8	Besiktas	17	6	3	8	-4	+3.2	21
9	Kayserispor	17	5	4	8	-11	-12.1	19
10	Konyaspor	18	3	8	7	-13	-11.8	17
11	Antalyaspor	17	4	4	9	-7	-3.7	16
12	Pendikspor	18	3	6	9	-20	-6.8	15
13	Gaziantep	17	4	2	11	-10	-8.5	14
14	Ankaragücü	18	2	7	9	-7	-6.4	13
15	Ad. Demirspor	18	1	10	7	-9	-8.9	13
16	Hatayspor	18	2	6	10	-11	-4.1	12
17	Rizespor	18	3	3	12	-21	-12.2	12
18	Karagumruk	18	2	4	12	-16	-12.6	10
19	İstanbulspor	17	2	4	11	-19	-9.9	10
20	Samsunspor	17	1	5	11	-16	-2.4	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.