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Ligue 1
Referee: B Millot
Rennes
T T S T S
1–1
Full-time
Lens
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 41%
38%
44%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
56%
44%
Both score Ø 54%
63%
44%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,90 xG 0,58
57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 8. · Lens 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 31 20 10 1 +47 +27.5 70
2 Monaco 32 18 7 7 +20 +10.8 61
3 Brest 33 16 10 7 +16 +8.4 58
4 Lille 32 15 10 7 +17 +11.8 55
5 Nice 32 15 9 8 +12 +14.6 54
6 Lens 32 14 7 11 +8 +3.7 49
7 Lyon 32 14 5 13 -8 -3.5 47
8 Rennes 32 12 9 11 +8 +11.0 45
9 Marseille 31 11 11 9 +9 +18.4 44
10 Montpellier 32 10 11 11 -3 +0.9 41
11 Reims 32 11 8 13 -7 -0.8 41
12 Toulouse 32 10 10 12 -3 -6.2 40
13 Strasbourg 32 9 9 14 -12 -3.0 36
14 Nantes 32 9 6 17 -20 -14.3 33
15 Le Havre 33 7 11 15 -10 -13.6 32
16 Metz 32 8 5 19 -20 -20.3 29
17 Lorient 32 6 8 18 -26 -19.8 26
18 Clermont 32 5 10 17 -28 -25.6 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Lens
21′
🟨 David Pereira da Costa
35′
🟨 Facundo Medina
Alidu Seidu 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–1
48′
A. Fulgini 0–1
J. Belocian 🔁
↦ A. Theate
57′
I. Salah 🔁
↦ B. Bourigeaud
66′
F. Rieder 🔁
↦ B. Santamaría
66′
B. Yıldırım 🔁
↦ A. Gouiri
67′
71′
🔁 A. Thomasson
↦ A. Fulgini
72′
🔁 R. Aguilar
↦ P. Frankowski
72′
🔁 M. Guilavogui
↦ W. Saïd
L. Blas 🔁
↦ E. Le Fée
77′
1–1 I. Salah
A. Kalimuendo
82′
Christopher Wooh 🟨
83′
83′
🔁 S. Abdul Samed
↦ David Pereira da Costa
88′
🟨 Florian Sotoca
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-2
30 S. Mandanda G
36 A. Seidu D
4 C. Wooh D
5 A. Theate D
3 A. Truffert D
14 B. Bourigeaud M
28 E. Le Fée M
8 B. Santamaría M
33 D. Doué M
9 A. Kalimuendo F
10 A. Gouiri F
Bench (9)
16 J. Belocian
34 I. Salah
32 F. Rieder
99 B. Yıldırım
11 L. Blas
38 D. Cissé
1 G. Gallon
23 W. Omari
17 G. Doué

Coach: J. Stéphan

Lens

3-4-2-1
30 B. Samba G
24 J. Gradit D
25 A. Khusanov D
14 F. Medina D
29 P. Frankowski M
26 N. Mendy M
10 David Pereira da Costa M
3 D. Machado M
7 F. Sotoca F
11 A. Fulgini F
22 W. Saïd F
Bench (9)
28 A. Thomasson
2 R. Aguilar
27 M. Guilavogui
6 S. Abdul Samed
21 M. Haïdara
32 A. Sishuba
19 J. Cabot
16 J. Leca
18 A. Diouf

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,50
U ✓
3,48
B
2,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Millot · 146 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.