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Pro League
Referee: Wesli De Cremer
3–1
Full-time
Oostende
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,5
This season — Pro League · 24/28 matches
Win Ø 23%
25%
21%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
58%
57%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
57%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

6 Corners 5
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 13. · Oostende 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 27 20 6 1 +44 66
2 Gent 28 16 7 5 +28 55
3 Charleroi 28 15 9 4 +28 54
4 Antwerp 27 15 6 6 +20 51
5 Standard 28 14 6 8 +18 48
6 Genk 28 14 5 9 +11 47
7 Waregem 28 12 5 11 +6 41
8 Mechelen 27 12 5 10 -2 41
9 Anderlecht 28 9 12 7 +4 39
10 St Truiden 29 10 6 13 -10 36
11 Mouscron 25 7 9 9 -2 30
12 Eupen 28 8 6 14 -19 30
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 24 6 9 9 -4 27
14 Kortrijk 27 7 5 15 -11 26
15 Oostende 28 6 4 18 -25 22
16 Waasland-Beveren 24 5 5 14 -29 20
17 Beveren 24 5 5 14 -29 20
18 Cercle Brugge 28 5 4 19 -28 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Oostende
23′
J. Bataille 0–1
Half-time 0–1
M. Bakić 🔁
↦ B. Van Durmen
57′
1–1 L. Sobiech
A. Ciranni
61′
63′
🟨 Fashion Sakala
S. Perica 🔁
↦ J. Osabutey
72′
2–1 S. Perica
A. Ciranni
82′
3–1 F. Olinga
86′
87′
🔁 S. Guri
↦ A. Palaversa
J. Huyghebaert 🔁
↦ Aleix García
88′
88′
🔁 A. Hjulsager
↦ L. Verstraete
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butez G
44 L. Sobiech D
33 K. Wimmer D
13 A. Ciranni D
6 D. Hočko M
11 D. Mohamed M
24 Aleix García M
30 B. Van Durmen M
15 F. Boya M
7 F. Olinga F
45 J. Osabutey F
Bench (7)
10 M. Bakić
18 S. Perica
28 J. Huyghebaert
34 N. Gillekens
22 Joan Campins
23 Diogo Queirós
39 E. Sağlık

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Oostende

4-3-3
28 W. Dutoît G
23 A. Skúlason D
27 B. Capon D
5 G. Milović D
4 W. Faes D
26 K. Vandendriessche M
13 L. Verstraete M
25 J. Bataille M
14 A. Palaversa M
18 A. Niane F
7 F. Sakala F
Bench (7)
9 S. Guri
17 A. Hjulsager
11 I. Boonen
10 Renato Neto
1 F. Ondoa
20 M. Jonckheere
33 A. Tanghe

Coach: D. van Wijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wesli De Cremer · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.