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Pro League
Referee: L D'hondt
0–2
Full-time
Mechelen
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Seraing United Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 26/27 matches
Win Ø 25%
19%
30%
Points per game
0,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
58%
67%
Both score Ø 57%
54%
59%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
7 Shots 9
0 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Seraing United 18. · Mechelen 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 23 19 3 1 +42 60
2 St. Gilloise 22 17 3 2 +26 54
3 Antwerp 21 15 3 3 +24 48
4 Anderlecht 27 12 5 10 +11 41
5 Gent 21 12 3 6 +18 39
6 Club Brugge 21 11 6 4 +16 39
7 Charleroi 27 11 5 11 +0 38
8 St Truiden 27 10 8 9 -2 38
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 28 9 8 11 +4 35
10 Standard 22 10 3 9 +1 33
11 Kortrijk 29 9 6 14 -15 33
12 Cercle Brugge 21 8 8 5 +4 32
13 Westerlo 22 8 6 8 +2 30
14 Mechelen 27 8 6 13 -10 30
15 Eupen 28 8 4 16 -20 28
16 Waregem 29 6 9 14 -20 27
17 Oostende 28 5 6 17 -29 21
18 Seraing United 26 5 4 17 -25 19
19 Seraing 27 5 4 18 -27 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Seraing United Mechelen
35′
G. Hairemans 0–1
Mamadou Moustapha Mbow ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
44′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Y. Malede
↦ J. Ngoy
52′
🟨 Kerim Mrabti
55′
Alessio Da Cruz 0–2
Mamadou Moustapha Mbow 🟨
61′
S. Lahssaini 🔁
↦ A. Ba
62′
V. Guillaume 🔁
↦ S. Mvoué
62′
65′
🔁 B. Verstraete
↦ Alessio Da Cruz
M. Cachbach 🔁
↦ M. Mouandilmadji
76′
82′
🔁 N. Mukau
↦ K. Mrabti
Mathieu Cachbach 🟨
87′
N. Serwy 🔁
↦ Vagner
89′
91′
🔁 I. Swers
↦ G. Hairemans
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Seraing United

4-4-2
30 G. Dietsch G
21 M. Sambu D
40 D. Opare D
23 C. Lepoint D
99 M. Mbow D
27 S. Sissoko M
20 A. Ba M
5 S. Mvoué M
18 M. Poaty M
7 Vagner F
10 M. Mouandilmadji F
Bench (7)
15 S. Lahssaini
14 V. Guillaume
6 M. Cachbach
52 N. Serwy
29 E. Ifoni
17 S. Trémoulet
16 T. Martin

Coach: J. Legros

Mechelen

4-3-3
1 G. Coucke G
6 J. Van Hecke D
27 D. Bates D
4 D. Wouters D
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
14 D. Lavalée M
22 Alessio Da Cruz M
19 K. Mrabti M
7 G. Hairemans F
9 J. Ngoy F
11 N. Storm F
Bench (7)
10 Y. Malede
66 B. Verstraete
34 N. Mukau
2 I. Swers
3 L. Bijker
23 E. Agyei
15 Y. Thoelen

Coach: S. Defour

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L D'hondt · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.