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Eliteserien

Referee: S Kringstad

Sarpsborg 08

S T S U U

2–1

Full-time

Tromso

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Tromso

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 31%

31%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

66%

52%

Both score Ø 50%

69%

31%

Average goals

3,3

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,85 xG 0,88

61% Possession 39%

14 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 2

0 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 11. · Tromso 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	29	17	8	4	+37	+23.4	59
2	Brann	29	17	7	5	+22	+15.4	58
3	Viking	29	16	8	5	+22	+18.1	56
4	Molde	29	15	7	7	+29	+18.5	52
5	Rosenborg	29	15	5	9	+9	+3.3	50
6	Fredrikstad	29	13	9	7	+3	+4.0	48
7	Stromsgodset	29	9	8	12	-9	-7.2	35
8	KFUM Oslo	29	8	10	11	-3	+3.1	34
9	Sandefjord	29	9	7	13	-4	-1.9	34
10	Kristiansund	29	8	10	11	-9	-7.9	34
11	Sarpsborg 08	29	9	7	13	-13	-6.0	34
12	Ham-Kam	29	8	9	12	-3	-6.7	33
13	Tromso	29	9	6	14	-9	-12.8	33
14	Haugesund	29	8	6	15	-18	-11.5	30
15	Lillestrom	29	7	3	19	-27	-8.8	24
16	Odd	29	5	8	16	-27	-22.9	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	15	10	4	1	+16	+13.8	34
2	Rosenborg	15	10	2	3	+12	+8.1	32
3	Bodo/Glimt	14	9	4	1	+26	+15.2	31
4	Brann	14	9	2	3	+12	+12.8	29
5	Molde	15	8	3	4	+16	+13.2	27
6	Fredrikstad	15	7	6	2	+4	+8.6	27
7	Sandefjord	14	7	2	5	+3	+3.2	23
8	Stromsgodset	14	6	4	4	+4	+6.8	22
9	Kristiansund	14	5	6	3	+0	+5.1	21
10	Tromso	15	5	4	6	+3	+1.2	19
11	Ham-Kam	14	4	4	6	+0	-3.1	16
12	Haugesund	14	5	1	8	-6	+1.3	16
13	KFUM Oslo	15	2	7	6	-6	+5.7	13
14	Odd	15	3	4	8	-13	-7.7	13
15	Sarpsborg 08	14	3	3	8	-11	-0.7	12
16	Lillestrom	15	3	3	9	-14	-1.4	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	15	8	5	2	+10	+2.6	29
2	Bodo/Glimt	15	8	4	3	+11	+8.2	28
3	Molde	14	7	4	3	+13	+5.3	25
4	Viking	14	6	4	4	+6	+4.2	22
5	Sarpsborg 08	15	6	4	5	-2	-5.3	22
6	KFUM Oslo	14	6	3	5	+3	-2.6	21
7	Fredrikstad	14	6	3	5	-1	-4.6	21
8	Rosenborg	14	5	3	6	-3	-4.8	18
9	Ham-Kam	15	4	5	6	-3	-3.6	17
10	Haugesund	15	3	5	7	-12	-12.8	14
11	Tromso	14	4	2	8	-12	-14.0	14
12	Kristiansund	15	3	4	8	-9	-13.1	13
13	Stromsgodset	15	3	4	8	-13	-14.0	13
14	Lillestrom	14	4	0	10	-13	-7.4	12
15	Sandefjord	15	2	5	8	-7	-5.1	11
16	Odd	14	2	4	8	-14	-15.3	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.