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Premier League
Referee: Stuart Attwell
Chelsea
S U T U S
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chelsea 14. · Sheffield United 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Man City 3 2 1 0 +7 7
3 Arsenal 3 2 0 1 +0 6
4 Man United 4 1 2 1 +3 5
5 Leicester 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 Burnley 3 1 1 1 +2 4
7 Tottenham 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 Brighton 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Sheffield United 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Crystal Palace 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Bournemouth 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Everton 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Southampton 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Chelsea 3 1 1 1 -3 4
15 West Ham 3 1 1 1 -3 4
16 Wolves 3 0 3 0 +0 3
17 Aston Villa 3 1 0 2 -1 3
18 Norwich 3 1 0 2 -2 3
19 Newcastle 3 1 0 2 -2 3
20 Watford 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chelsea Sheffield United
1–0 T. Abraham
19′
2–0 T. Abraham
43′
45′
🟨 Oliver McBurnie
Half-time 2–1
46′
C. Robinson 2–1
E. Stevens
Willian 🔁
↦ R. Barkley
60′
63′
🔁 D. McGoldrick
↦ O. McBurnie
79′
🔁 L. Mousset
↦ L. Freeman
M. Batshuayi 🔁
↦ M. Kovačić
83′
B. Gilmour 🔁
↦ T. Abraham
84′
84′
🔁 B. Osborn
↦ C. Basham
89′
K. Zouma 3–1
own goal
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Chelsea

4-3-3
1 Kepa G
28 Azpilicueta D
15 K. Zouma D
33 Emerson D
29 F. Tomori D
8 R. Barkley M
17 M. Kovačić M
5 Jorginho M
19 M. Mount F
22 C. Pulisic F
9 T. Abraham F
Bench (7)
10 Willian
23 M. Batshuayi
47 B. Gilmour
13 W. Caballero
4 A. Christensen
18 O. Giroud
3 Marcos Alonso

Coach: F. Lampard

Sheffield United

3-5-2
1 D. Henderson G
6 C. Basham D
3 E. Stevens M
2 G. Baldock M
12 J. Egan D
5 J. O'Connell D
16 O. Norwood M
8 L. Freeman M
7 J. Lundstram M
11 C. Robinson F
9 O. McBurnie F
Bench (7)
17 D. McGoldrick
22 L. Mousset
23 B. Osborn
25 S. Moore
10 B. Sharp
27 M. Bešić
19 R. Stearman

Coach: C. Wilder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,36
U ✓
4,98
B
9,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,13
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Stuart Attwell · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.