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2. Bundesliga

Ingolstadt

T T S U U

1–3

Full-time

St Pauli

U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ingolstadt St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 33%

13%

52%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

61%

78%

Both score Ø 55%

48%

61%

Average goals

2,7

3,4

Scored

0,9

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

10 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

4 Corners 2

14 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ingolstadt 18. · St Pauli 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Werder Bremen	23	12	6	5	+13	42
2	Hamburg	23	10	11	2	+21	41
3	Darmstadt	23	12	5	6	+18	41
4	St Pauli	23	12	5	6	+11	41
5	Schalke 04	23	12	4	7	+18	40
6	Heidenheim	23	11	5	7	+0	38
7	Nurnberg	23	10	6	7	+0	36
8	Paderborn	24	8	9	7	+8	33
9	Karlsruhe	23	8	8	7	+5	32
10	Regensburg	23	9	4	10	+5	31
11	Holstein Kiel	24	8	7	9	-8	31
12	Hannover	24	8	7	9	-9	31
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	23	7	5	11	-4	26
14	Dresden	23	7	5	11	-8	26
15	Hansa Rostock	23	6	7	10	-9	25
16	Sandhausen	23	6	7	10	-15	25
17	Erzgebirge Aue	24	3	7	14	-25	16
18	Ingolstadt	23	3	6	14	-21	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	11	8	2	1	+16	26
2	Hamburg	12	6	6	0	+13	24
3	Heidenheim	11	7	3	1	+8	24
4	Schalke 04	12	7	2	3	+12	23
5	Darmstadt	11	6	2	3	+10	20
6	Nurnberg	12	6	2	4	+3	20
7	Werder Bremen	11	5	4	2	+9	19
8	Karlsruhe	12	5	4	3	+6	19
9	Regensburg	12	5	2	5	+5	17
10	Dresden	11	5	2	4	+3	17
11	Holstein Kiel	12	5	2	5	-4	17
12	Hannover	12	4	4	4	-3	16
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	3	4	5	+0	13
14	Paderborn	13	2	5	6	-3	11
15	Hansa Rostock	11	2	3	6	-7	9
16	Erzgebirge Aue	12	2	2	8	-13	8
17	Ingolstadt	11	1	4	6	-8	7
18	Sandhausen	11	1	4	6	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Werder Bremen	12	7	2	3	+4	23
2	Paderborn	11	6	4	1	+11	22
3	Darmstadt	12	6	3	3	+8	21
4	Sandhausen	12	5	3	4	-2	18
5	Hamburg	11	4	5	2	+8	17
6	Schalke 04	11	5	2	4	+6	17
7	Hansa Rostock	12	4	4	4	-2	16
8	Nurnberg	11	4	4	3	-3	16
9	St Pauli	12	4	3	5	-5	15
10	Hannover	12	4	3	5	-6	15
11	Regensburg	11	4	2	5	+0	14
12	Holstein Kiel	12	3	5	4	-4	14
13	Heidenheim	12	4	2	6	-8	14
14	Karlsruhe	11	3	4	4	-1	13
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	4	1	6	-4	13
16	Dresden	12	2	3	7	-11	9
17	Erzgebirge Aue	12	1	5	6	-12	8
18	Ingolstadt	12	2	2	8	-13	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.