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2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
T T T S T
1–0
Full-time
Hamburg
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 36%
32%
39%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
68%
54%
Both score Ø 66%
61%
71%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 6
1 Corners 5
7 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Holstein Kiel 14. · Hamburg 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Schalke 04 29 16 5 8 +25 53
2 Werder Bremen 29 15 8 6 +15 53
3 St Pauli 29 15 7 7 +15 52
4 Darmstadt 29 15 6 8 +19 51
5 Nurnberg 29 14 7 8 +6 49
6 Hamburg 28 11 12 5 +22 45
7 Heidenheim 29 13 6 10 -2 45
8 Paderborn 28 10 10 8 +9 40
9 Karlsruhe 28 9 11 8 +6 38
10 Regensburg 29 10 8 11 +5 38
11 Hansa Rostock 29 10 7 12 -10 37
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 29 9 9 11 +2 36
13 Hannover 29 9 8 12 -13 35
14 Holstein Kiel 28 9 7 12 -11 34
15 Sandhausen 28 7 10 11 -14 31
16 Dresden 28 7 7 14 -11 28
17 Ingolstadt 29 4 7 18 -29 19
18 Erzgebirge Aue 29 4 7 18 -34 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,53
U
3,84
B
1,93
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,56
U2,5 ✓
2,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.