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2. Bundesliga
Referee: N Winter
Regensburg
T T T U T
2–0
Full-time
St Pauli
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Regensburg St Pauli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,0
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,3
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 38%
0%
75%
Average goals
2,4
3,4
Scored
0,6
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

31% Possession 69%
7 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Regensburg 16. · St Pauli 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 9 7 0 2 +9 21
2 Paderborn 8 6 1 1 +16 19
3 Darmstadt 9 5 3 1 +7 18
4 Hannover 9 5 2 2 +5 17
5 Heidenheim 8 4 3 1 +7 15
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 9 4 2 3 +4 14
7 Kaiserslautern 8 3 4 1 +3 13
8 Holstein Kiel 9 3 3 3 -3 12
9 Hansa Rostock 9 4 0 5 -4 12
10 Karlsruhe 9 3 2 4 +1 11
11 St Pauli 8 2 4 2 +1 10
12 Nurnberg 9 3 1 5 -6 10
13 Bielefeld 9 2 2 5 -3 8
14 Sandhausen 9 2 2 5 -3 8
15 Braunschweig 9 2 2 5 -9 8
16 Regensburg 8 2 2 4 -9 8
17 Magdeburg 9 2 1 6 -10 7
18 Greuther Furth 8 0 4 4 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Regensburg St Pauli
Maximilian Thalhammer 🟨
2′
Christian Viet ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
6′
1–0 A. Albers
8′
32′
🟨 Jakov Medić
2–0 A. Albers
C. Viet
41′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 C. Metcalfe
↦ B. Fazliji
46′
🔁 I. Matanović
↦ J. Eggestein
52′
🟨 Lukas Daschner
Prince-Osei Owusu 🟨
57′
C. Makridis 🔁
↦ J. Mees
59′
62′
🔁 L. Ritzka
↦ L. Paqarada
67′
🟨 Jackson Irvine
K. Caliskaner 🔁
↦ B. Idrizi
70′
D. Vizinger 🔁
↦ P. Owusu
70′
73′
🔁 L. Zander
↦ M. Saliakas
77′
🟨 Marcel Hartel
77′
🟨 Connor Metcalfe
79′
🔁 A. Dźwigała
↦ L. Daschner
S. Nachreiner 🔁
↦ N. Shipnoski
90′
A. Yildirim 🔁
↦ C. Viet
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Regensburg

4-2-3-1
1 D. Stojanovic G
11 K. Faber D
33 J. Elvedi D
24 S. Kennedy D
30 C. Viet D
8 M. Thalhammer M
14 B. Idrizi M
7 N. Shipnoski M
19 A. Albers M
29 J. Mees M
9 P. Owusu F
Bench (7)
26 C. Makridis
10 K. Caliskaner
12 D. Vizinger
28 S. Nachreiner
18 A. Yildirim
22 M. Gouras
21 T. Kirschbaum

Coach: M. Selimbegovic

St Pauli

4-4-2
22 N. Vasilj G
2 M. Saliakas D
4 D. Nemeth D
18 J. Medić D
23 L. Paqarada D
13 L. Daschner M
7 J. Irvine M
5 B. Fazliji M
10 M. Hartel M
11 J. Eggestein F
14 E. Amenyido F
Bench (8)
24 C. Metcalfe
34 I. Matanović
21 L. Ritzka
19 L. Zander
25 A. Dźwigała
20 A. Aremu
30 S. Burchert
16 C. Boukhalfa

Coach: T. Schultz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,15
U
3,66
B
2,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Winter · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.