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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Petersen
2–2
Full-time
St Pauli
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth St Pauli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Greuther Furth 18. · St Pauli 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Heidenheim 7 4 2 1 +7 14
2 Paderborn 6 4 1 1 +12 13
3 Darmstadt 6 4 1 1 +5 13
4 Hamburg 6 4 0 2 +5 12
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 7 3 2 2 +4 11
6 Kaiserslautern 6 3 2 1 +3 11
7 Holstein Kiel 6 3 2 1 +0 11
8 Karlsruhe 6 3 1 2 +3 10
9 Hannover 6 3 1 2 +3 10
10 Hansa Rostock 6 3 0 3 -3 9
11 St Pauli 6 2 2 2 +1 8
12 Nurnberg 7 2 1 4 -5 7
13 Regensburg 6 2 1 3 -6 7
14 Sandhausen 6 2 0 4 -2 6
15 Bielefeld 6 1 1 4 -4 4
16 Magdeburg 6 1 1 4 -8 4
17 Braunschweig 7 1 1 5 -10 4
18 Greuther Furth 6 0 3 3 -5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Greuther Furth St Pauli
18′
M. Hartel 0–1
27′
🟨 Manolis Saliakas
41′
🟨 David Otto
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 L. Zander
↦ M. Saliakas
1–1 B. Hrgota
48′
50′
🟨 Jackson Irvine
1–2 J. Irvine
own goal
52′
Max Christiansen 🟨
59′
60′
🔁 E. Amenyido
↦ D. Otto
60′
🔁 I. Matanović
↦ L. Daschner
63′
🟨 Etienne Amenyido
71′
ℹ️ Igor Matanović
VAR: Penalty confirmed
R. Ache 🔁
↦ A. Sieb
76′
79′
🔁 C. Metcalfe
↦ E. Smith
85′
C. Metcalfe 1–3
Afimico Pululu 🔁
↦ D. Abiama
87′
89′
🔁 C. Boukhalfa
↦ J. Eggestein
O. Mhamdi 🔁
↦ S. Asta
91′
95′
🟨 Carlo Boukhalfa
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

4-2-3-1
1 A. Linde G
2 S. Asta D
4 D. Michalski D
5 O. Haddadi D
24 M. John D
20 T. Raschl M
13 M. Christiansen M
11 D. Abiama M
10 B. Hrgota M
21 T. Tillman M
30 A. Sieb F
Bench (9)
39 R. Ache
9 Afimico Pululu
3 O. Mhamdi
28 J. Dudziak
8 N. Seufert
19 O. Fobassam
25 L. Schaffran
31 D. Angleberger
37 J. Green

Coach: M. Schneider

St Pauli

4-3-1-2
22 N. Vasilj G
2 M. Saliakas D
4 D. Nemeth D
18 J. Medić D
23 L. Paqarada D
7 J. Irvine M
8 E. Smith M
10 M. Hartel M
13 L. Daschner M
27 D. Otto F
11 J. Eggestein F
Bench (9)
19 L. Zander
14 E. Amenyido
34 I. Matanović
24 C. Metcalfe
16 C. Boukhalfa
20 A. Aremu
30 S. Burchert
21 L. Ritzka
5 B. Fazliji

Coach: T. Schultz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,31
U ✓
3,60
B
2,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,39
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Petersen · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.