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2. Bundesliga

Referee: D Aytekin

Magdeburg

T U T S T

1–0

Full-time

Regensburg

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Regensburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

1,2

0,3

Conceded

2,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-2,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 28%

22%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

89%

44%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

2,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

14 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Magdeburg 18. · Regensburg 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	10	8	0	2	+10	24
2	Darmstadt	10	6	3	1	+8	21
3	Paderborn	10	6	1	3	+14	19
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	5	2	3	+7	17
5	Heidenheim	10	4	5	1	+7	17
6	Hannover	10	5	2	3	+4	17
7	Kaiserslautern	9	3	5	1	+3	14
8	Holstein Kiel	10	3	4	3	-3	13
9	Hansa Rostock	10	4	1	5	-4	13
10	Karlsruhe	9	3	2	4	+1	11
11	St Pauli	10	2	5	3	-1	11
12	Regensburg	9	3	2	4	-7	11
13	Nurnberg	9	3	1	5	-6	10
14	Sandhausen	10	2	3	5	-3	9
15	Greuther Furth	10	1	5	4	-5	8
16	Bielefeld	10	2	2	6	-6	8
17	Braunschweig	9	2	2	5	-9	8
18	Magdeburg	9	2	1	6	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	6	5	0	1	+15	15
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	4	1	0	+10	13
3	Darmstadt	5	3	2	0	+7	11
4	St Pauli	5	2	3	0	+4	9
5	Hansa Rostock	5	3	0	2	+3	9
6	Hamburg	5	3	0	2	+2	9
7	Heidenheim	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Holstein Kiel	5	2	2	1	+3	8
9	Kaiserslautern	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Hannover	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Regensburg	5	2	2	1	-2	8
12	Karlsruhe	4	2	1	1	+2	7
13	Braunschweig	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Sandhausen	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Greuther Furth	6	1	4	1	-1	7
16	Bielefeld	4	2	0	2	+0	6
17	Nurnberg	4	2	0	2	-2	6
18	Magdeburg	4	1	0	3	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Darmstadt	5	3	1	1	+1	10
3	Hannover	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Heidenheim	6	2	3	1	+3	9
5	Kaiserslautern	4	1	3	0	+2	6
6	Holstein Kiel	5	1	2	2	-6	5
7	Karlsruhe	5	1	1	3	-1	4
8	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	1	3	-3	4
10	Nurnberg	5	1	1	3	-4	4
11	Magdeburg	5	1	1	3	-5	4
12	Hansa Rostock	5	1	1	3	-7	4
13	Regensburg	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Sandhausen	5	0	2	3	-3	2
15	St Pauli	5	0	2	3	-5	2
16	Bielefeld	6	0	2	4	-6	2
17	Greuther Furth	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Braunschweig	4	0	1	3	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.