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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Burda
Magdeburg
T T T U T
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,2
-0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 7%
14%
0%
Points per game
0,6
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
86%
71%
Both score Ø 72%
57%
86%
Average goals
3,9
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%
13 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 18. · Greuther Furth 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 8 6 1 1 +16 19
2 Hamburg 8 6 0 2 +7 18
3 Heidenheim 8 4 3 1 +7 15
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 8 4 2 2 +6 14
5 Darmstadt 7 4 2 1 +5 14
6 Hannover 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Kaiserslautern 7 3 3 1 +3 12
8 Holstein Kiel 8 3 3 2 -1 12
9 Karlsruhe 8 3 2 3 +2 11
10 Nurnberg 8 3 1 4 -4 10
11 St Pauli 7 2 3 2 +1 9
12 Hansa Rostock 8 3 0 5 -6 9
13 Regensburg 8 2 2 4 -9 8
14 Sandhausen 7 2 1 4 -2 7
15 Bielefeld 8 1 2 5 -5 5
16 Braunschweig 8 1 2 5 -10 5
17 Greuther Furth 7 0 4 3 -5 4
18 Magdeburg 7 1 1 5 -9 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Magdeburg Greuther Furth
34′
🟨 Oussama Haddadi
1–0 C. Piccini
38′
42′
D. Michalski 1–1
M. John
43′
🟨 Oualid Mhamdi
Half-time 1–1
55′
🟨 Marco John
59′
🔁 J. Green
↦ D. Abiama
T. Ito 🔁
↦ L. Schuler
62′
T. Sechelmann 🔁
↦ C. Piccini
63′
67′
🔁 S. Griesbeck
↦ T. Raschl
67′
🔁 Afimico Pululu
↦ A. Sieb
68′
🔁 N. Žebrauskas
↦ O. Mhamdi
J. Ceka 🔁
↦ M. El Hankouri
74′
2–1 M. Kwarteng
T. Ito
86′
87′
🔁 R. Ache
↦ T. Tillman
D. Elfadli 🔁
↦ C. Krempicki
89′
Léo Scienza 🔁
↦ A. Condé
89′
90′
🟨 Afimico Pululu
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Magdeburg

4-3-3
1 D. Reimann G
7 H. Bockhorn D
2 C. Piccini D
25 S. Gnaka D
19 L. Bell Bell D
13 C. Krempicki M
16 A. Müller M
29 A. Condé M
8 M. Kwarteng F
26 L. Schuler F
11 M. El Hankouri F
Bench (9)
37 T. Ito
22 T. Sechelmann
10 J. Ceka
6 D. Elfadli
17 Léo Scienza
20 J. Rieckmann
28 T. Boss
24 A. Bittroff
15 Ö. Beyaz

Coach: C. Titz

Greuther Furth

4-3-1-2
1 A. Linde G
3 O. Mhamdi D
4 D. Michalski D
5 O. Haddadi D
24 M. John D
20 T. Raschl M
13 M. Christiansen M
21 T. Tillman M
30 A. Sieb M
10 B. Hrgota F
11 D. Abiama F
Bench (9)
37 J. Green
22 S. Griesbeck
9 Afimico Pululu
34 N. Žebrauskas
39 R. Ache
31 D. Angleberger
6 S. Raebiger
8 N. Seufert
25 L. Schaffran

Coach: M. Schneider

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,88
U
3,69
B
2,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Burda · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.