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2. Bundesliga
Referee: H Osmers
1–2
Full-time
Hertha
U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kaiserslautern Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 37%
33%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
87%
80%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
3,9
3,7
Scored
1,7
2,1
Conceded
2,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kaiserslautern 14. · Hertha 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 15 8 7 0 +16 31
2 Holstein Kiel 15 9 2 4 +6 29
3 Hamburg 15 8 4 3 +10 28
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 15 8 3 4 +16 27
5 Greuther Furth 15 8 3 4 +7 27
6 Hannover 16 6 6 4 +10 24
7 Elversberg 15 7 3 5 -1 24
8 Hertha 15 6 3 6 +6 21
9 Wehen 16 6 3 7 -3 21
10 Paderborn 15 6 3 6 -4 21
11 Nurnberg 15 6 3 6 -8 21
12 Magdeburg 15 5 4 6 +3 19
13 Karlsruhe 16 4 6 6 -1 18
14 Kaiserslautern 15 5 3 7 -6 18
15 Hansa Rostock 15 5 2 8 -6 17
16 Schalke 04 15 5 1 9 -6 16
17 Braunschweig 16 3 2 11 -16 11
18 Osnabruck 15 1 4 10 -23 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kaiserslautern Hertha
1–0 A. Touré
16′
43′
🟨 Márton Dárdai
Half-time 1–0
A. Aremu 🔁
↦ A. Touré
46′
E. Durm 🔁
↦ J. Zimmer
46′
46′
🔁 G. Christensen
↦ M. Winkler
46′
🔁 F. Reese
↦ D. Scherhant
46′
🔁 H. Tabaković
↦ S. Prevljak
49′
F. Niederlechner 1–1
J. Kenny
Afeez Aremu ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
58′
Afeez Aremu 🟥
59′
60′
🔁 A. Bouchalakis
↦ M. Dárdai
60′
🔁 B. Hussein
↦ P. Klemens
K. Kraus 🔁
↦ M. Ritter
63′
L. Lobinger 🔁
↦ T. Boyd
72′
81′
M. Kempf 1–2
Kevin Kraus 🟨
85′
K. Redondo 🔁
↦ N. Soldo
87′
90′
🟨 Tjark Ernst
91′
🟨 Andreas Bouchalakis
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Kaiserslautern

3-4-1-2
18 J. Krahl G
6 A. Touré D
14 N. Soldo D
33 J. Elvedi D
8 J. Zimmer M
20 T. Raschl M
2 B. Tomiak M
15 T. Puchacz M
7 M. Ritter F
29 R. Tachie F
13 T. Boyd F
Bench (9)
4 A. Aremu
37 E. Durm
5 K. Kraus
27 L. Lobinger
11 K. Redondo
1 A. Luthe
10 P. Klement
31 B. Zolinski
19 D. Hanslik

Coach: D. Grammozis

Hertha

4-2-3-1
12 T. Ernst G
16 J. Kenny D
37 T. Leistner D
20 M. Kempf D
6 M. Karbownik D
41 P. Klemens M
31 M. Dárdai M
39 D. Scherhant M
7 F. Niederlechner M
22 M. Winkler M
9 S. Prevljak F
Bench (9)
26 G. Christensen
11 F. Reese
25 H. Tabaković
5 A. Bouchalakis
8 B. Hussein
47 T. Rölke
17 N. El-Jindaoui
35 M. Gersbeck
34 D. Zeefuik

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,36
U
3,69
B ✓
2,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,36
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.