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Superligaen

Referee: J Burchardt

Aarhus

S S T U T

1–1

Full-time

Odense

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Odense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 32%

37%

26%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

37%

68%

Both score Ø 63%

58%

68%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

16 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 5. · Odense 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	20	13	3	4	+16	+10.3	42
2	Brondby	20	12	5	3	+20	+5.7	41
3	FC Copenhagen	20	12	3	5	+16	+15.9	39
4	Nordsjaelland	19	8	6	5	+11	+6.2	30
5	Aarhus	19	7	8	4	+3	+4.7	29
6	Silkeborg	19	8	3	8	+2	+5.8	27
7	Viborg	20	6	5	9	-10	-5.4	23
8	Randers FC	20	5	7	8	-13	-3.0	22
9	Odense	19	5	5	9	-6	-7.1	20
10	Lyngby	20	5	5	10	-10	-2.8	20
11	Vejle	20	4	7	9	-3	-14.1	19
12	Hvidovre IF	20	2	5	13	-26	-16.1	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	10	7	2	1	+12	+5.6	23
2	Brondby	10	6	2	2	+10	+6.7	20
3	FC Copenhagen	10	6	1	3	+9	+11.9	19
4	Nordsjaelland	9	5	3	1	+9	+5.9	18
5	Viborg	10	5	3	2	+4	-1.4	18
6	Silkeborg	10	5	2	3	+4	+6.4	17
7	Aarhus	9	4	2	3	-1	+3.0	14
8	Lyngby	10	3	4	3	+1	+1.2	13
9	Randers FC	10	3	4	3	-5	+1.2	13
10	Vejle	10	3	3	4	+1	-3.5	12
11	Odense	10	0	3	7	-12	-1.9	3
12	Hvidovre IF	10	0	2	8	-18	-4.8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	10	6	3	1	+10	-1.0	21
2	FC Copenhagen	10	6	2	2	+7	+4.0	20
3	Midtjylland	10	6	1	3	+4	+4.7	19
4	Odense	9	5	2	2	+6	-5.2	17
5	Aarhus	10	3	6	1	+4	+1.7	15
6	Nordsjaelland	10	3	3	4	+2	+0.3	12
7	Silkeborg	9	3	1	5	-2	-0.6	10
8	Randers FC	10	2	3	5	-8	-4.1	9
9	Hvidovre IF	10	2	3	5	-8	-11.3	9
10	Vejle	10	1	4	5	-4	-10.6	7
11	Lyngby	10	2	1	7	-11	-4.0	7
12	Viborg	10	1	2	7	-14	-4.0	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.