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Serie B
Referee: D Ghersini
Cittadella
T T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Pisa
U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 32%
37%
26%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
52%
48%
Both score Ø 63%
59%
67%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
6 Shots 12
0 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 9. · Pisa 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 28 17 8 3 +25 59
2 Venezia 27 15 6 6 +17 51
3 Cremonese 27 14 8 5 +17 50
4 Como 27 14 7 6 +8 49
5 Palermo 28 13 7 8 +13 46
6 Catanzaro 27 13 6 8 +7 45
7 Brescia 28 9 11 8 +3 38
8 Modena 27 8 12 7 -3 36
9 Cittadella 27 10 6 11 -4 36
10 Sudtirol 28 9 8 11 -2 35
11 Cosenza 27 8 9 10 +1 33
12 Bari 27 7 12 8 -5 33
13 Sampdoria 27 9 6 12 -7 33
14 Reggiana 27 6 14 7 -3 32
15 Pisa 27 7 10 10 -2 31
16 Ternana 28 7 8 13 -5 29
17 Ascoli 27 6 9 12 -6 27
18 Spezia 27 5 11 11 -15 26
19 FeralpiSalo 27 6 6 15 -13 24
20 Lecco 28 5 6 17 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cittadella Pisa
Andrea Tessiore 🟨
10′
Stefano Negro 🟨
18′
Half-time 0–0
V. Mastrantonio 🔁
↦ A. Tessiore
46′
46′
🔁 N. Bonfanti
↦ J. Mlakar
46′
🔁 P. Beruatto
↦ A. Calabresi
59′
🔁 I. Touré
↦ N. Bonfanti
N. Pavan 🔁
↦ S. Negro
60′
66′
🟨 Tomás Esteves
E. Baldini 🔁
↦ C. Cassano
66′
66′
🔁 G. Piccinini
↦ L. Tramoni
70′
🟨 Pietro Beruatto
A. Magrassi 🔁
↦ L. Pandolfi
77′
M. Angeli 🔁
↦ N. Pavan
77′
83′
🔁 M. D'Alessandro
↦ A. Arena
89′
T. Barbieri 0–1
P. Beruatto
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cittadella

4-3-1-2
36 E. Kastrati G
2 A. Salvi D
30 S. Negro D
15 D. Frare D
28 A. Rizza D
8 F. Amatucci M
23 S. Branca M
18 A. Tessiore M
10 C. Cassano M
11 F. Pittarello F
7 L. Pandolfi F
Bench (12)
5 V. Mastrantonio
26 N. Pavan
92 E. Baldini
9 A. Magrassi
4 M. Angeli
24 L. Carissoni
20 G. Carriero
77 L. Maniero
6 E. Sottini
98 F. Giraudo
32 T. Maistrello
74 A. Sanogo

Coach: E. Gorini

Pisa

3-5-1-1
22 L. Loria G
33 A. Calabresi D
4 A. Caracciolo D
5 S. Canestrelli D
7 L. Tramoni M
28 A. Arena M
8 M. Marin M
19 Tomás Esteves M
42 T. Barbieri M
17 J. Mlakar F
32 S. Moreo F
Bench (12)
9 N. Bonfanti
20 P. Beruatto
15 I. Touré
36 G. Piccinini
77 M. D'Alessandro
26 G. Masucci
1 Nícolas
44 Miguel Veloso
16 M. Sala
6 H. Hermannsson
3 M. Leverbe
34 M. Campani

Coach: A. Aquilani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,24
U
3,10
B ✓
3,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,39
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Ghersini · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.