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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Heft
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 47%
52%
41%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
59%
52%
Both score Ø 56%
59%
52%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
9 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 3. · Greuther Furth 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Holstein Kiel 29 18 4 7 +25 58
2 St Pauli 29 16 9 4 +22 57
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 29 15 7 7 +28 52
4 Hamburg 29 14 7 8 +14 49
5 Hannover 29 11 12 6 +15 45
6 Hertha 29 12 8 9 +12 44
7 Karlsruhe 29 11 10 8 +15 43
8 Paderborn 30 12 7 11 -3 43
9 Greuther Furth 29 12 6 11 -2 42
10 Elversberg 30 11 7 12 -8 40
11 Nurnberg 30 10 7 13 -18 37
12 Schalke 04 30 10 6 14 -10 36
13 Magdeburg 29 8 9 12 -6 33
14 Wehen 29 8 7 14 -9 31
15 Braunschweig 29 9 4 16 -11 31
16 Hansa Rostock 29 9 4 16 -21 31
17 Kaiserslautern 29 8 5 16 -13 29
18 Osnabruck 29 5 9 15 -30 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fortuna Dusseldorf Greuther Furth
Jamil Siebert 🟨
13′
29′
🟨 Marco Meyerhofer
Half-time 0–0
48′
ℹ️ Tim Lemperle
VAR: Penalty cancelled
M. Sobottka 🔁
↦ D. Jastrzembski
60′
1–0 V. Vermeij
S. Appelkamp
69′
70′
🔁 P. Müller
↦ J. Consbruch
J. Niemiec 🔁
↦ F. Klaus
75′
C. Daferner 🔁
↦ V. Vermeij
75′
78′
🟨 Maximilian Dietz
81′
🔁 D. Pfaffenrot
↦ T. Lemperle
81′
🔁 O. Mhamdi
↦ N. Gießelmann
87′
🔁 L. Popp
↦ D. Srbeny
87′
🔁 D. Michalski
↦ M. Meyerhöfer
N. Gavory 🔁
↦ S. Appelkamp
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-5-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
25 M. Zimmermann D
15 T. Oberdorf D
20 J. Siebert D
19 E. Iyoha D
11 F. Klaus M
23 S. Appelkamp M
6 Y. Engelhardt M
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson M
27 D. Jastrzembski M
9 V. Vermeij F
Bench (9)
31 M. Sobottka
18 J. Niemiec
22 C. Daferner
34 N. Gavory
5 J. Quarshie
3 A. Hoffmann
1 K. Niemczycki
46 S. Suso
30 J. de Wijs

Coach: D. Thioune

Greuther Furth

3-4-2-1
40 J. Urbig G
33 M. Dietz D
23 G. Jung D
17 N. Gießelmann D
2 S. Asta M
14 J. Consbruch M
22 R. Wagner M
18 M. Meyerhöfer M
30 A. Sieb F
19 T. Lemperle F
7 D. Srbeny F
Bench (9)
36 P. Müller
34 D. Pfaffenrot
3 O. Mhamdi
20 L. Popp
4 D. Michalski
25 L. Schaffran
15 B. Schlicke
5 O. Haddadi
21 K. Çalhanoğlu

Coach: A. Zorniger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
4,29
B
5,10
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,56
U2,5 ✓
2,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Heft · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.