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Championship
Referee: M Salisbury
Fulham
S T S S S
3–0
Full-time
West Brom
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,2
This season — Championship · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 62%
64%
60%
Points per game
2,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
64%
53%
Both score Ø 56%
64%
47%
Average goals
3,4
2,5
Scored
2,4
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
5 Offside 1
3 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Fulham 3. · West Brom 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bournemouth 15 10 5 0 +16 35
2 West Brom 15 9 4 2 +15 31
3 Fulham 14 9 2 3 +19 29
4 Coventry 15 8 3 4 +6 27
5 Middlesbrough 15 7 3 5 +6 24
6 Luton 14 6 5 3 +8 23
7 QPR 16 6 4 6 +2 22
8 Reading 15 7 1 7 -2 22
9 Sheffield United 15 6 3 6 +3 21
10 Stoke 14 6 3 5 +1 21
11 Millwall 14 5 6 3 +0 21
12 Blackpool 14 6 3 5 -1 21
13 Blackburn 14 5 5 4 +6 20
14 Huddersfield 12 6 2 4 +3 20
15 Bristol City 15 5 4 6 -4 19
16 Preston 15 4 6 5 -3 18
17 Swansea 14 4 5 5 -2 17
18 Derby 15 3 8 4 -2 17
19 Birmingham 15 4 4 7 -8 16
20 Nott'm Forest 14 4 3 7 -4 15
21 Peterboro 14 4 2 8 -11 14
22 Peterborough 14 4 2 8 -11 14
23 Cardiff 15 3 3 9 -14 12
24 Hull 15 2 3 10 -12 9
25 Barnsley 14 1 5 8 -11 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fulham West Brom
1–0 A. Mitrović
20′
23′
🟨 Semi Ajayi
2–0 A. Mitrović
40′
Half-time 2–0
52′
🟨 Kyle Bartley
59′
🔁 C. Robinson
↦ J. Hugill
59′
🔁 G. Diangana
↦ M. Phillips
70′
🟥 Darnell Furlong
73′
🔁 J. Molumby
↦ K. Ahearne-Grant
76′
🟨 Robert Snodgrass
3–0 A. Mitrović
H. Wilson
82′
F. Carvalho 🔁
↦ H. Reed
84′
T. Cairney 🔁
↦ N. Kebano
84′
Rodrigo Muniz 🔁
↦ A. Mitrović
84′
Tosin Adarabioyo 🟥
85′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Fulham

4-2-3-1
1 M. Rodák G
4 D. Odoi D
13 T. Ream D
16 T. Adarabioyo D
33 A. Robinson D
7 N. Kebano M
24 J. Seri M
6 H. Reed M
8 H. Wilson M
14 B. De Cordova-Reid M
9 A. Mitrović F
Bench (7)
28 F. Carvalho
10 T. Cairney
19 Rodrigo Muniz
21 P. Gazzaniga
25 J. Onomah
2 K. Tete
3 M. Hector

Coach: Marco Silva

West Brom

3-4-2-1
1 S. Johnstone G
5 K. Bartley D
3 C. Townsend M
6 S. Ajayi D
2 D. Furlong M
23 R. Snodgrass M
10 M. Phillips F
8 J. Livermore M
16 M. Clarke D
17 J. Hugill F
18 K. Ahearne-Grant F
Bench (7)
7 C. Robinson
11 G. Diangana
14 J. Molumby
22 K. Bryan
25 D. Button
21 C. Kipre
20 A. Reach

Coach: V. Ismaël

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,07
U
3,46
B
3,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,85
U2,5
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Salisbury · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.