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Bundesliga

Referee: B Dankert

Bielefeld

U T T U T

1–2

Full-time

Mainz

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 22%

44%

Points per game

0,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

33%

44%

Both score Ø 45%

56%

33%

Average goals

2,1

2,3

Scored

0,6

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bielefeld 17. · Mainz 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	9	7	1	1	+25	22
2	Dortmund	9	7	0	2	+10	21
3	Freiburg	9	5	4	0	+8	19
4	Leverkusen	9	5	2	2	+9	17
5	Union Berlin	9	4	4	1	+3	16
6	RB Leipzig	9	4	2	3	+11	14
7	Hoffenheim	10	4	2	4	+4	14
8	Mainz	9	4	1	4	+3	13
9	FC Koln	9	3	4	2	-1	13
10	Wolfsburg	9	4	1	4	-3	13
11	Hertha	10	4	0	6	-12	12
12	M'gladbach	9	3	2	4	-2	11
13	Stuttgart	9	2	4	3	-1	10
14	Bochum	9	3	1	5	-9	10
15	Ein Frankfurt	9	1	5	3	-5	8
16	Augsburg	9	1	3	5	-13	6
17	Bielefeld	9	0	5	4	-9	5
18	Greuther Furth	9	0	1	8	-18	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Bayern Munich	5	4	0	1	+16	12
3	RB Leipzig	5	4	0	1	+13	12
4	FC Koln	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Union Berlin	5	3	2	0	+4	11
6	Hoffenheim	5	3	1	1	+7	10
7	Mainz	5	3	1	1	+6	10
8	Freiburg	4	2	2	0	+4	8
9	M'gladbach	4	2	2	0	+3	8
10	Stuttgart	5	2	1	2	+3	7
11	Bochum	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	Wolfsburg	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Leverkusen	4	2	0	2	+0	6
14	Hertha	4	2	0	2	+0	6
15	Augsburg	4	1	1	2	-6	4
16	Ein Frankfurt	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Bielefeld	5	0	3	2	-6	3
18	Greuther Furth	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	5	3	2	0	+9	11
2	Freiburg	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	Dortmund	4	2	0	2	+1	6
5	Wolfsburg	4	2	0	2	-1	6
6	Hertha	6	2	0	4	-12	6
7	Union Berlin	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Ein Frankfurt	5	1	2	2	-4	5
9	Hoffenheim	5	1	1	3	-3	4
10	Mainz	4	1	0	3	-3	3
11	Stuttgart	4	0	3	1	-4	3
12	M'gladbach	5	1	0	4	-5	3
13	Bochum	5	1	0	4	-11	3
14	RB Leipzig	4	0	2	2	-2	2
15	Bielefeld	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	FC Koln	4	0	2	2	-6	2
17	Augsburg	5	0	2	3	-7	2
18	Greuther Furth	5	0	0	5	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.