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Ligue 2

Pau FC

U T T S T

1–0

Full-time

Ajaccio

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,2

1,5

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 46%

38%

54%

Points per game

1,4

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 23%

31%

15%

Both score Ø 31%

38%

23%

Average goals

1,9

1,8

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,9

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

9 Shots 9

1 Shots on target 1

1 Corners 2

14 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pau FC 7. · Ajaccio 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	14	8	5	1	+19	29
2	Sochaux	13	8	3	2	+7	27
3	Ajaccio	13	7	4	2	+9	25
4	Le Havre	13	6	6	1	+7	24
5	Auxerre	13	6	5	2	+6	23
6	Paris FC	13	5	3	5	+1	18
7	Pau FC	13	5	3	5	+1	18
8	Niort	13	5	3	5	+1	18
9	Guingamp	14	4	6	4	-1	18
10	Caen	13	4	4	5	+1	16
11	Rodez	13	4	4	5	-2	16
12	Quevilly Rouen	13	4	4	5	-3	16
13	Dijon	13	5	1	7	-5	16
14	Grenoble	13	4	3	6	-5	15
15	Valenciennes	13	4	3	6	-9	15
16	Nimes	13	3	5	5	-2	14
17	Dunkerque	13	3	4	6	-4	13
18	Amiens	13	2	6	5	-2	12
19	Bastia	13	2	5	6	-5	11
20	Nancy	13	1	5	7	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajaccio	7	5	1	1	+7	16
2	Toulouse	7	4	2	1	+10	14
3	Auxerre	7	4	2	1	+8	14
4	Le Havre	7	4	2	1	+4	14
5	Sochaux	7	4	2	1	+3	14
6	Pau FC	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	Grenoble	7	4	1	2	+3	13
8	Niort	6	3	1	2	+3	10
9	Dijon	7	3	1	3	-1	10
10	Paris FC	6	2	3	1	+2	9
11	Bastia	6	1	5	0	+2	8
12	Guingamp	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Caen	7	2	1	4	+1	7
14	Amiens	7	1	3	3	-1	6
15	Nimes	6	1	3	2	-2	6
16	Rodez	6	1	3	2	-2	6
17	Dunkerque	7	1	3	3	-3	6
18	Quevilly Rouen	6	1	2	3	-4	5
19	Nancy	6	1	2	3	-7	5
20	Valenciennes	6	1	1	4	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	7	4	3	0	+9	15
2	Sochaux	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Quevilly Rouen	7	3	2	2	+1	11
4	Valenciennes	7	3	2	2	-1	11
5	Le Havre	6	2	4	0	+3	10
6	Rodez	7	3	1	3	+0	10
7	Guingamp	8	2	4	2	-1	10
8	Ajaccio	6	2	3	1	+2	9
9	Caen	6	2	3	1	+0	9
10	Paris FC	7	3	0	4	-1	9
11	Auxerre	6	2	3	1	-2	9
12	Nimes	7	2	2	3	+0	8
13	Niort	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Dunkerque	6	2	1	3	-1	7
15	Amiens	6	1	3	2	-1	6
16	Dijon	6	2	0	4	-4	6
17	Pau FC	6	1	2	3	-3	5
18	Bastia	7	1	0	6	-7	3
19	Nancy	7	0	3	4	-7	3
20	Grenoble	6	0	2	4	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.