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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Rosenborg
S T U S U
1–3
Full-time
Lillestrom
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 48%
50%
46%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
71%
63%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 13
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 4. · Lillestrom 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 24 15 6 3 +28 51
2 Molde 24 14 5 5 +29 47
3 Viking 24 13 5 6 +8 44
4 Rosenborg 24 12 6 6 +19 42
5 Kristiansund 25 12 4 9 -3 40
6 Lillestrom 24 11 5 8 +4 38
7 Valerenga 24 8 10 6 +6 34
8 Haugesund 24 9 5 10 +4 32
9 Stromsgodset 24 8 6 10 -2 30
10 Sarpsborg 08 24 8 5 11 -9 29
11 Tromso 25 7 8 10 -10 29
12 Sandefjord 24 8 5 11 -11 29
13 Odd 24 7 7 10 -11 28
14 Brann 24 4 8 12 -16 20
15 Mjondalen 24 3 9 12 -12 18
16 Stabaek 24 4 6 14 -24 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Lillestrom
1–0 E. Hovland
P. Skjelbred
22′
S. Vecchia 🔁
↦ P. Skjelbred
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Gustafsson
↦ P. Helland
67′
🔁 M. Knudsen
↦ F. Krogstad
67′
🔁 G. Åsen
↦ E. Edh
68′
I. Mathew 1–1
78′
🔁 J. Braut-Brunes
↦ T. Svendsen
79′
T. Olsen 1–2
G. Åsen
D. Islamović 🔁
↦ N. Holm
80′
O. Skarsem 🔁
↦ E. Tagseth
80′
86′
T. Pettersson 1–3
J. Braut-Brunes
93′
🔁 U. Mathisen
↦ T. Olsen
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 A. Hansen G
16 E. Hovland D
25 A. Andersson D
2 E. Reitan D
5 P. Skjelbred M
7 M. Henriksen M
23 P. Vagić D
20 E. Tagseth M
11 C. Holse F
18 N. Holm F
35 E. Ceïde F
Bench (9)
22 S. Vecchia
9 D. Islamović
21 O. Skarsem
14 R. Wiedesheim-Paul
15 H. Eyjólfsson
8 A. Konradsen
6 A. Tettey
26 B. Šerbečić
13 J. Lund

Coach: Å. Hareide

Lillestrom

3-4-3
12 M. Christiansen G
24 T. Pettersson D
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes M
30 I. Ogbu D
14 F. Krogstad M
8 I. Mathew M
25 E. Edh M
7 P. Helland F
10 T. Olsen F
11 T. Svendsen F
Bench (9)
90 D. Gustafsson
21 M. Knudsen
23 G. Åsen
17 J. Braut-Brunes
18 U. Mathisen
15 J. Baccay
1 K. Skjærstein
3 S. Mikalsen
22 P. Slørdahl

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.