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Ligue 2
Dunkerque
T S S S U
1–0
Full-time
Le Havre
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dunkerque Le Havre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 35%
23%
46%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
38%
23%
Both score Ø 46%
54%
38%
Average goals
2,3
1,6
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

12 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 1
4 Corners 3
17 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dunkerque 17. · Le Havre 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Toulouse 14 8 5 1 +19 29
2 Sochaux 13 8 3 2 +7 27
3 Ajaccio 13 7 4 2 +9 25
4 Le Havre 13 6 6 1 +7 24
5 Auxerre 13 6 5 2 +6 23
6 Paris FC 13 5 3 5 +1 18
7 Pau FC 13 5 3 5 +1 18
8 Niort 13 5 3 5 +1 18
9 Guingamp 14 4 6 4 -1 18
10 Caen 13 4 4 5 +1 16
11 Rodez 13 4 4 5 -2 16
12 Quevilly Rouen 13 4 4 5 -3 16
13 Dijon 13 5 1 7 -5 16
14 Grenoble 13 4 3 6 -5 15
15 Valenciennes 13 4 3 6 -9 15
16 Nimes 13 3 5 5 -2 14
17 Dunkerque 13 3 4 6 -4 13
18 Amiens 13 2 6 5 -2 12
19 Bastia 13 2 5 6 -5 11
20 Nancy 13 1 5 7 -14 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,03
U
2,91
B
2,52
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,49
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.