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Super League
Referee: A Koutsiaftis
PAOK
S S S U T
4–1
Full-time
Apollon
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Apollon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,5
1,2
Scored
2,2
0,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Super League · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 35%
57%
13%
Points per game
1,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
57%
38%
Both score Ø 41%
57%
25%
Average goals
3,1
1,9
Scored
1,9
0,4
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

70% Possession 30%
12 Shots 2
8 Shots on target 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 5. · Apollon 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 7 5 2 0 +8 17
2 AEK 7 5 1 1 +9 16
3 Aris Thessalonikis 7 4 2 1 +7 14
4 Aris 7 4 2 1 +7 14
5 PAOK 7 4 1 2 +4 13
6 Volos NFC 7 4 1 2 +1 13
7 Ionikos 8 3 2 3 -3 11
8 Panathinaikos 8 3 1 4 +7 10
9 Giannina 7 2 3 2 +0 9
10 OFI Crete 8 1 6 1 -1 9
11 Asteras Tripolis 7 2 2 3 -2 8
12 Apollon 8 1 3 4 -9 6
13 Lamia 8 1 2 5 -4 5
14 Panetolikos 8 1 2 5 -11 5
15 Atromitos 8 0 2 6 -13 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK Apollon
1–0 S. Schwab
4′
14′
G. Pamlidis 1–1
N. Martínez
28′
🟨 Sotiris Tsiloulis
Omar El Kaddouri 🟨
31′
Half-time 1–1
62′
🔁 A. Ntentakis
↦ C. Lisgaras
62′
🔁 F. Matei
↦ N. Martínez
2–1 K. Świderski
O. El Kaddouri
66′
69′
🟨 Fatjon Andoni
71′
🟨 Dimos Baxevanidis
3–1 G. Michailidis
A. Živković
72′
Rodrigo Alves 🔁
↦ Vieirinha
73′
J. Kurtič 🔁
↦ S. Schwab
74′
76′
🔁 R. van La Parra
↦ G. Pamlidis
T. Murg 🔁
↦ O. El Kaddouri
77′
C. Akpom 🔁
↦ K. Świderski
77′
85′
🔁 A. Dauda
↦ N. Ioannidis
85′
🔁 W. Sahli
↦ S. Tsiloulis
I. Konstantelias 🔁
↦ D. Biseswar
89′
4–1 Douglas Augusto
94′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
31 A. Paschalakis G
5 Fernando Varela D
13 Lucas Taylor D
49 G. Michailidis D
21 D. Biseswar M
20 Vieirinha M
7 O. El Kaddouri M
22 S. Schwab M
8 Douglas Augusto M
14 A. Živković F
9 K. Świderski F
Bench (9)
2 Rodrigo Alves
27 J. Kurtič
10 T. Murg
47 C. Akpom
65 I. Konstantelias
6 E. Mihaj
88 Ž. Živković
15 José Crespo
44 A. Esiti

Coach: R. Lucescu

Apollon

4-2-3-1
1 K. Kotsaris G
5 Domingues D
6 D. Baxevanidis D
31 C. Lisgaras D
17 J. Tutuarima D
10 N. Martínez M
64 F. Andoni M
21 F. Castro M
23 S. Tsiloulis M
9 N. Ioannidis F
7 G. Pamlidis F
Bench (9)
2 A. Ntentakis
8 F. Matei
91 R. van La Parra
27 A. Dauda
77 W. Sahli
3 V. Vitlis
18 E. Kragiopoulos
13 D. Verhulst
11 G. Papageorgiou

Coach: G. Festa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,19
U
6,56
B
12,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,31
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Koutsiaftis · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
31,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.